Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Republican Party at 76.5% implied probability to win Tennessee's 5th Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's R+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index—where Donald Trump carried 58% in 2024—and Rep. Andy Ogles' incumbency advantage despite vulnerabilities. Q1 2026 FEC filings released mid-April highlight Ogles' weak $85,000 cash on hand, trailing both GOP primary challenger Charlie Hatcher ($214,000) and leading Democrat Chaz Molder ($1.27 million), who earned DCCC Red to Blue status and a fresh local endorsement on April 30. Absent polls showing competitiveness, forecasters like Cook rate it Solid Republican ahead of August 6 primaries.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTN-05 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
TN-05 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$15,154 Vol.
$15,154 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
77%
Partido Demócrata
21%
$15,154 Vol.
$15,154 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$6,995 Vol.
77%
Partido Demócrata
$8,159 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Republican Party at 76.5% implied probability to win Tennessee's 5th Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's R+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index—where Donald Trump carried 58% in 2024—and Rep. Andy Ogles' incumbency advantage despite vulnerabilities. Q1 2026 FEC filings released mid-April highlight Ogles' weak $85,000 cash on hand, trailing both GOP primary challenger Charlie Hatcher ($214,000) and leading Democrat Chaz Molder ($1.27 million), who earned DCCC Red to Blue status and a fresh local endorsement on April 30. Absent polls showing competitiveness, forecasters like Cook rate it Solid Republican ahead of August 6 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$15,154Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Republican Party at 76.5% implied probability to win Tennessee's 5th Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's R+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index—where Donald Trump carried 58% in 2024—and Rep. Andy Ogles' incumbency advantage despite vulnerabilities. Q1 2026 FEC filings released mid-April highlight Ogles' weak $85,000 cash on hand, trailing both GOP primary challenger Charlie Hatcher ($214,000) and leading Democrat Chaz Molder ($1.27 million), who earned DCCC Red to Blue status and a fresh local endorsement on April 30. Absent polls showing competitiveness, forecasters like Cook rate it Solid Republican ahead of August 6 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$15,154Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Republican Party at 76.5% implied probability to win Tennessee's 5th Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's R+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index—where Donald Trump carried 58% in 2024—and Rep. Andy Ogles' incumbency advantage despite vulnerabilities. Q1 2026 FEC filings released mid-April highlight Ogles' weak $85,000 cash on hand, trailing both GOP primary challenger Charlie Hatcher ($214,000) and leading Democrat Chaz Molder ($1.27 million), who earned DCCC Red to Blue status and a fresh local endorsement on April 30. Absent polls showing competitiveness, forecasters like Cook rate it Solid Republican ahead of August 6 primaries.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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