The Republican primary runoff on May 26 between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton keeps the Texas Senate race tightly contested, with trader consensus pricing Republicans at 54.5% to win the November 3 general election despite Democratic nominee James Talarico's edges in recent polls. Late April surveys from Texas Public Opinion Research (likely voters) and University of Texas (registered voters) show Talarico leading Cornyn 44%-41% and Paxton 46%-41%, or 40-42% to 33-34%, signaling Democratic momentum from record primary turnout and gains among Latino voters and suburban swing districts. GOP odds hold firm due to Texas' Republican lean, Cornyn's fundraising lead ($12.9M raised), and historical incumbency advantages in Senate races. A Cornyn runoff victory could widen the GOP edge via establishment consolidation; Paxton's base appeal risks general election vulnerabilities amid mixed runoff polling.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Texas
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Texas
$192,693 Vol.
$192,693 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
54%
Demócrata
47%
$192,693 Vol.
$192,693 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
$106,417 Vol.
54%
Demócrata
$86,276 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The Republican primary runoff on May 26 between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton keeps the Texas Senate race tightly contested, with trader consensus pricing Republicans at 54.5% to win the November 3 general election despite Democratic nominee James Talarico's edges in recent polls. Late April surveys from Texas Public Opinion Research (likely voters) and University of Texas (registered voters) show Talarico leading Cornyn 44%-41% and Paxton 46%-41%, or 40-42% to 33-34%, signaling Democratic momentum from record primary turnout and gains among Latino voters and suburban swing districts. GOP odds hold firm due to Texas' Republican lean, Cornyn's fundraising lead ($12.9M raised), and historical incumbency advantages in Senate races. A Cornyn runoff victory could widen the GOP edge via establishment consolidation; Paxton's base appeal risks general election vulnerabilities amid mixed runoff polling.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
Volumen
$192,693Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The Republican primary runoff on May 26 between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton keeps the Texas Senate race tightly contested, with trader consensus pricing Republicans at 54.5% to win the November 3 general election despite Democratic nominee James Talarico's edges in recent polls. Late April surveys from Texas Public Opinion Research (likely voters) and University of Texas (registered voters) show Talarico leading Cornyn 44%-41% and Paxton 46%-41%, or 40-42% to 33-34%, signaling Democratic momentum from record primary turnout and gains among Latino voters and suburban swing districts. GOP odds hold firm due to Texas' Republican lean, Cornyn's fundraising lead ($12.9M raised), and historical incumbency advantages in Senate races. A Cornyn runoff victory could widen the GOP edge via establishment consolidation; Paxton's base appeal risks general election vulnerabilities amid mixed runoff polling.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$192,693Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican primary runoff on May 26 between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton keeps the Texas Senate race tightly contested, with trader consensus pricing Republicans at 54.5% to win the November 3 general election despite Democratic nominee James Talarico's edges in recent polls. Late April surveys from Texas Public Opinion Research (likely voters) and University of Texas (registered voters) show Talarico leading Cornyn 44%-41% and Paxton 46%-41%, or 40-42% to 33-34%, signaling Democratic momentum from record primary turnout and gains among Latino voters and suburban swing districts. GOP odds hold firm due to Texas' Republican lean, Cornyn's fundraising lead ($12.9M raised), and historical incumbency advantages in Senate races. A Cornyn runoff victory could widen the GOP edge via establishment consolidation; Paxton's base appeal risks general election vulnerabilities amid mixed runoff polling.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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