Incumbent Lindsey Graham dominates trader consensus at 86% implied probability for the South Carolina Republican Senate primary on June 9, driven by his massive fundraising edge—over $20 million raised versus challenger Mark Lynch's $5.7 million—and strong name recognition in the deep-red state. Paul Dans, architect of Project 2025, exited the race on April 10 and endorsed Lynch, consolidating anti-Graham sentiment from the right flank and boosting Lynch to 8.8%, though the opposition remains fragmented with low shares for Dans (0.8%) and Thomas Murphy (0.1%). Recent polls show Graham leading comfortably among GOP primary voters, with no major shifts in the past week amid Lynch's media push criticizing Graham as out-of-touch.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Carolina del Sur
Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Carolina del Sur
Lindsey Graham 86%
Mark Lynch 8.8%
Paul Dans <1%
Thomas Murphy <1%
$112,865 Vol.
$112,865 Vol.
Lindsey Graham
86%
Mark Lynch
9%
Paul Dans
1%
Thomas Murphy
<1%
Lindsey Graham 86%
Mark Lynch 8.8%
Paul Dans <1%
Thomas Murphy <1%
$112,865 Vol.
$112,865 Vol.
Lindsey Graham
86%
Mark Lynch
9%
Paul Dans
1%
Thomas Murphy
<1%
If no 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Sep 15, 2025, 3:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Lindsey Graham dominates trader consensus at 86% implied probability for the South Carolina Republican Senate primary on June 9, driven by his massive fundraising edge—over $20 million raised versus challenger Mark Lynch's $5.7 million—and strong name recognition in the deep-red state. Paul Dans, architect of Project 2025, exited the race on April 10 and endorsed Lynch, consolidating anti-Graham sentiment from the right flank and boosting Lynch to 8.8%, though the opposition remains fragmented with low shares for Dans (0.8%) and Thomas Murphy (0.1%). Recent polls show Graham leading comfortably among GOP primary voters, with no major shifts in the past week amid Lynch's media push criticizing Graham as out-of-touch.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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