Incumbent Senator Lindsey Graham dominates trader consensus at 86.5% implied probability for the South Carolina Republican Senate primary on June 9, driven by his incumbency edge, massive fundraising war chest exceeding $20 million raised with $11.6 million cash on hand, and high-profile endorsements from President Trump—who recently reaffirmed support while criticizing challenger Mark Lynch—and Governor Henry McMaster. Mark Lynch trails at 11.1%, bolstered by Paul Dans' April 10 withdrawal and endorsement after Dans polled at 11% in the latest March survey (Graham 41%, Lynch 21%, undecided 22%), alongside backing from Mike Flynn, yet failing to erode Graham's lead amid the appliance businessman's $5.7 million haul. Paul Dans (0.8%) and Thomas Murphy (0.2%) linger as longshots post-consolidation, with no April polls shifting dynamics ahead of early voting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Carolina del Sur
Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Carolina del Sur
Lindsey Graham 87%
Mark Lynch 10.8%
Paul Dans <1%
Thomas Murphy <1%
$112,865 Vol.
$112,865 Vol.
Lindsey Graham
87%
Mark Lynch
11%
Paul Dans
1%
Thomas Murphy
<1%
Lindsey Graham 87%
Mark Lynch 10.8%
Paul Dans <1%
Thomas Murphy <1%
$112,865 Vol.
$112,865 Vol.
Lindsey Graham
87%
Mark Lynch
11%
Paul Dans
1%
Thomas Murphy
<1%
If no 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Sep 15, 2025, 3:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Senator Lindsey Graham dominates trader consensus at 86.5% implied probability for the South Carolina Republican Senate primary on June 9, driven by his incumbency edge, massive fundraising war chest exceeding $20 million raised with $11.6 million cash on hand, and high-profile endorsements from President Trump—who recently reaffirmed support while criticizing challenger Mark Lynch—and Governor Henry McMaster. Mark Lynch trails at 11.1%, bolstered by Paul Dans' April 10 withdrawal and endorsement after Dans polled at 11% in the latest March survey (Graham 41%, Lynch 21%, undecided 22%), alongside backing from Mike Flynn, yet failing to erode Graham's lead amid the appliance businessman's $5.7 million haul. Paul Dans (0.8%) and Thomas Murphy (0.2%) linger as longshots post-consolidation, with no April polls shifting dynamics ahead of early voting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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