Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) at 55% implied probability for second-most seats in the September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its historical edge as the consistent runner-up behind United Russia in proportional representation and single-member districts, despite recent FOM and WCIOM polls showing a tight three-way race with Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) at 9-13% and New People (NL) surging to 6-13%. April 2026 surveys, including FOM's April 17-19 fieldwork placing LDPR ahead at 10% versus KPRF's 8%, and PolitPro averages (LDPR 13.3%, NL 13.2%, KPRF 12.6%), highlight LDPR's nationalist consolidation under Leonid Slutsky post-Zhirinovsky and NL's growth via mergers, yet traders favor KPRF's loyal protest base amid restricted opposition dynamics. Upcoming party primaries and the inclusion of annexed regions' voters could further shape outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRussia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 55%
New People (NL) 24%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 18%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 3.7%
$10,065 Vol.
$10,065 Vol.

United Russia (ER)
3%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
55%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
4%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
18%

New People (NL)
24%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 55%
New People (NL) 24%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 18%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 3.7%
$10,065 Vol.
$10,065 Vol.

United Russia (ER)
3%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
55%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
4%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
18%

New People (NL)
24%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Mercado abierto: Apr 21, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) at 55% implied probability for second-most seats in the September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its historical edge as the consistent runner-up behind United Russia in proportional representation and single-member districts, despite recent FOM and WCIOM polls showing a tight three-way race with Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) at 9-13% and New People (NL) surging to 6-13%. April 2026 surveys, including FOM's April 17-19 fieldwork placing LDPR ahead at 10% versus KPRF's 8%, and PolitPro averages (LDPR 13.3%, NL 13.2%, KPRF 12.6%), highlight LDPR's nationalist consolidation under Leonid Slutsky post-Zhirinovsky and NL's growth via mergers, yet traders favor KPRF's loyal protest base amid restricted opposition dynamics. Upcoming party primaries and the inclusion of annexed regions' voters could further shape outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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