Recent independent polling in the Makerfield by-election, scheduled for 18 June 2026, places Restore Britain candidate Rebecca Shepherd at 7-8%, with Labour and Reform UK leading. A Survation survey from late May showed the new right-wing party at 7%, while Restore's own canvassing claims higher internal figures that have not been replicated elsewhere. The party's debut Westminster contest follows Rupert Lowe's split from Reform UK, but limited name recognition and competition for right-leaning voters have constrained its reach in the constituency. With the vote days away and no evident late surge in support, traders assess the 10% threshold as unlikely.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoElección parcial de Makerfield: ¿Restore Britain recibe más del 10%?
Sí
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 jun 2026
Sí
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 jun 2026
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Recent independent polling in the Makerfield by-election, scheduled for 18 June 2026, places Restore Britain candidate Rebecca Shepherd at 7-8%, with Labour and Reform UK leading. A Survation survey from late May showed the new right-wing party at 7%, while Restore's own canvassing claims higher internal figures that have not been replicated elsewhere. The party's debut Westminster contest follows Rupert Lowe's split from Reform UK, but limited name recognition and competition for right-leaning voters have constrained its reach in the constituency. With the vote days away and no evident late surge in support, traders assess the 10% threshold as unlikely.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Mercado abierto: Jun 8, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
Volumen
$311Fecha de finalización
18 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 8, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Recent independent polling in the Makerfield by-election, scheduled for 18 June 2026, places Restore Britain candidate Rebecca Shepherd at 7-8%, with Labour and Reform UK leading. A Survation survey from late May showed the new right-wing party at 7%, while Restore's own canvassing claims higher internal figures that have not been replicated elsewhere. The party's debut Westminster contest follows Rupert Lowe's split from Reform UK, but limited name recognition and competition for right-leaning voters have constrained its reach in the constituency. With the vote days away and no evident late surge in support, traders assess the 10% threshold as unlikely.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Volumen
$328Fecha de finalización
18 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 8, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent independent polling in the Makerfield by-election, scheduled for 18 June 2026, places Restore Britain candidate Rebecca Shepherd at 7-8%, with Labour and Reform UK leading. A Survation survey from late May showed the new right-wing party at 7%, while Restore's own canvassing claims higher internal figures that have not been replicated elsewhere. The party's debut Westminster contest follows Rupert Lowe's split from Reform UK, but limited name recognition and competition for right-leaning voters have constrained its reach in the constituency. With the vote days away and no evident late surge in support, traders assess the 10% threshold as unlikely.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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