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Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Rhode Island

icon for Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Rhode Island
Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Rhode Island

Aaron Guckian 44.6%

Elaine Pelino 34%

Ashley Kalus 5.5%

Jessica de la Cruz 2.5%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Aaron Guckian 44.6%

Elaine Pelino 34%

Ashley Kalus 5.5%

Jessica de la Cruz 2.5%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Aaron Guckian

$2,406 Vol.

45%

Elaine Pelino

$1,835 Vol.

34%

Ashley Kalus

$0 Vol.

6%

Jessica de la Cruz

$1,463 Vol.

3%

Robert Raimondo

$0 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors Aaron Guckian as the frontrunner for Rhode Island's September 9 Republican gubernatorial primary, with 51% implied probability reflecting his early campaign momentum since the December 2025 launch, emphasis on prolific fundraising, and prior role as an aide to former Gov. Donald Carcieri positioning him as a practical, moderate choice. Elaine Pelino holds steady at 35%, buoyed by her active grassroots push and a late-April partisan poll from Narragansett GOP leaders claiming a 72% lead over Guckian, though traders discount it absent neutral surveys. Declining odds for 2022 nominee Ashley Kalus and others underscore a fragmented field, where endorsements or debates could shift dynamics ahead of low-turnout primary voting.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$5,704
Fecha de finalización
8 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 10, 2025, 11:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors Aaron Guckian as the frontrunner for Rhode Island's September 9 Republican gubernatorial primary, with 51% implied probability reflecting his early campaign momentum since the December 2025 launch, emphasis on prolific fundraising, and prior role as an aide to former Gov. Donald Carcieri positioning him as a practical, moderate choice. Elaine Pelino holds steady at 35%, buoyed by her active grassroots push and a late-April partisan poll from Narragansett GOP leaders claiming a 72% lead over Guckian, though traders discount it absent neutral surveys. Declining odds for 2022 nominee Ashley Kalus and others underscore a fragmented field, where endorsements or debates could shift dynamics ahead of low-turnout primary voting.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$5,704
Fecha de finalización
8 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 10, 2025, 11:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Rhode Island" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Aaron Guckian" con 45%, seguido de "Elaine Pelino" con 34%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 45¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Rhode Island" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Dec 11, 2025. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Rhode Island", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Rhode Island" es "Aaron Guckian" con 45%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Elaine Pelino" con 34%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Rhode Island" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.