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Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Rhode Island

icon for Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Rhode Island
Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Rhode Island

Aaron Guckian 47.1%

Elaine Pelino 34%

Ashley Kalus 5.5%

Robert Raimondo 3.8%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Aaron Guckian 47.1%

Elaine Pelino 34%

Ashley Kalus 5.5%

Robert Raimondo 3.8%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Aaron Guckian

$2,405 Vol.

47%

Elaine Pelino

$1,832 Vol.

34%

Ashley Kalus

$0 Vol.

6%

Robert Raimondo

$0 Vol.

4%

Jessica de la Cruz

$0 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus in Rhode Island's Republican gubernatorial primary favors Aaron Guckian at 42% implied probability, buoyed by his early December 2025 campaign launch, prior lieutenant governor nomination, and establishment ties as a former aide to ex-Governor Donald Carcieri, positioning him as the more electable moderate. Elaine Pelino trails closely at 34%, propelled by grassroots enthusiasm from Trump supporters and a partisan April 28 poll claiming 72% support among conservatives, though traders discount its methodology amid sparse neutral polling. Low expected GOP primary turnout in deep-blue Rhode Island keeps the multicandidate field fragmented, with Ashley Kalus fading; upcoming neutral polls, Q2 fundraising reports, state party endorsements, or debates could tip the balance toward viability in the general election.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$4,237
Fecha de finalización
8 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 10, 2025, 11:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus in Rhode Island's Republican gubernatorial primary favors Aaron Guckian at 42% implied probability, buoyed by his early December 2025 campaign launch, prior lieutenant governor nomination, and establishment ties as a former aide to ex-Governor Donald Carcieri, positioning him as the more electable moderate. Elaine Pelino trails closely at 34%, propelled by grassroots enthusiasm from Trump supporters and a partisan April 28 poll claiming 72% support among conservatives, though traders discount its methodology amid sparse neutral polling. Low expected GOP primary turnout in deep-blue Rhode Island keeps the multicandidate field fragmented, with Ashley Kalus fading; upcoming neutral polls, Q2 fundraising reports, state party endorsements, or debates could tip the balance toward viability in the general election.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$4,237
Fecha de finalización
8 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 10, 2025, 11:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Rhode Island" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Aaron Guckian" con 47%, seguido de "Elaine Pelino" con 34%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 47¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 47% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Rhode Island" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Dec 11, 2025. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Rhode Island", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Rhode Island" es "Aaron Guckian" con 47%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 47% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Elaine Pelino" con 34%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Rhode Island" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.