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Elecciones·España

¿Presidente de Andalucía tras las elecciones?

icon for ¿Presidente de Andalucía tras las elecciones?
Elecciones·España

¿Presidente de Andalucía tras las elecciones?

Juanma Moreno 97.0%

María Jesús Montero 1.8%

Antonio Maíllo 1.4%

Manuel Gavira <1%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Juanma Moreno 97.0%

María Jesús Montero 1.8%

Antonio Maíllo 1.4%

Manuel Gavira <1%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Juanma Moreno

Juanma Moreno

$5,466 Vol.

97%

icon for María Jesús Montero

María Jesús Montero

$1,421 Vol.

2%

icon for Manuel Gavira

Manuel Gavira

$1,053 Vol.

1%

icon for Antonio Maíllo

Antonio Maíllo

$1,008 Vol.

1%

icon for José Ignacio García

José Ignacio García

$917 Vol.

<1%

Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election. This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count. If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Partido Popular leader Juanma Moreno commands trader consensus at 97% implied probability to remain President of Andalusia following the May 17, 2026, regional election, driven by consistent polling averages showing his party nearing absolute majority (55 seats) in the 109-seat Parliament. Recent surveys, including the April CIS Andaluz and aggregates through late April, project PP at 45-50% support—10+ points ahead of PSOE's María Jesús Montero—with Vox's Manuel Gavira and Por Andalucía's Antonio Maíllo trailing far behind amid fragmented opposition. Campaign momentum favors continuity after Moreno's 2022 absolute majority and high approval ratings. Upsets would require massive late polling swings, turnout surges for left blocs, or post-election coalition refusals, though historical regional trends support frontrunners.

Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election.

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count.

If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$9,866
Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election. This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count. If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election. This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count. If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Partido Popular leader Juanma Moreno commands trader consensus at 97% implied probability to remain President of Andalusia following the May 17, 2026, regional election, driven by consistent polling averages showing his party nearing absolute majority (55 seats) in the 109-seat Parliament. Recent surveys, including the April CIS Andaluz and aggregates through late April, project PP at 45-50% support—10+ points ahead of PSOE's María Jesús Montero—with Vox's Manuel Gavira and Por Andalucía's Antonio Maíllo trailing far behind amid fragmented opposition. Campaign momentum favors continuity after Moreno's 2022 absolute majority and high approval ratings. Upsets would require massive late polling swings, turnout surges for left blocs, or post-election coalition refusals, though historical regional trends support frontrunners.

Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election.

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count.

If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$9,866
Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election. This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count. If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Presidente de Andalucía tras las elecciones?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Juanma Moreno" con 97%, seguido de "María Jesús Montero" con 2%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 97¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 97% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Presidente de Andalucía tras las elecciones?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 16, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Presidente de Andalucía tras las elecciones?", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Presidente de Andalucía tras las elecciones?" es "Juanma Moreno" con 97%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 97% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "María Jesús Montero" con 2%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Presidente de Andalucía tras las elecciones?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.