National Weather Service observations at Central Park, New York City's official precipitation gauge, recorded 2.12 inches through April 27, 2026—roughly 58% of the 1991-2020 monthly climatological normal of 3.65 inches—driving trader consensus to a 95% implied probability for the 2-3 inch bin as models forecast minimal additional rainfall over April 28-30 amid persistent high-pressure ridging and below-normal moisture. This drier-than-average April aligns with neutral ENSO conditions limiting storm development, though historical analogs show rare late-month fronts occasionally adding 0.5-1 inch. Final resolution awaits NWS tallies by May 1, with upset scenarios requiring an improbable 1+ inch deluge in the remaining hours to exceed 3 inches.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Precipitaciones en Nueva York en abril?
¿Precipitaciones en Nueva York en abril?
2-3" 95%
3-4" 3.3%
<2" 1.0%
5-6" <1%
$65,174 Vol.
$65,174 Vol.
30 abr 2026
<2"
1%
2-3"
95%
3-4"
3%
4-5"
<1%
5-6"
<1%
>6"
<1%
2-3" 95%
3-4" 3.3%
<2" 1.0%
5-6" <1%
$65,174 Vol.
$65,174 Vol.
30 abr 2026
<2"
$18,282 Vol.
1%
2-3"
$14,150 Vol.
95%
3-4"
$11,333 Vol.
3%
4-5"
$14,032 Vol.
<1%
5-6"
$3,258 Vol.
<1%
>6"
$4,119 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Central Park, New York City's official precipitation gauge, recorded 2.12 inches through April 27, 2026—roughly 58% of the 1991-2020 monthly climatological normal of 3.65 inches—driving trader consensus to a 95% implied probability for the 2-3 inch bin as models forecast minimal additional rainfall over April 28-30 amid persistent high-pressure ridging and below-normal moisture. This drier-than-average April aligns with neutral ENSO conditions limiting storm development, though historical analogs show rare late-month fronts occasionally adding 0.5-1 inch. Final resolution awaits NWS tallies by May 1, with upset scenarios requiring an improbable 1+ inch deluge in the remaining hours to exceed 3 inches.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Volumen
$65,174Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Central Park, New York City's official precipitation gauge, recorded 2.12 inches through April 27, 2026—roughly 58% of the 1991-2020 monthly climatological normal of 3.65 inches—driving trader consensus to a 95% implied probability for the 2-3 inch bin as models forecast minimal additional rainfall over April 28-30 amid persistent high-pressure ridging and below-normal moisture. This drier-than-average April aligns with neutral ENSO conditions limiting storm development, though historical analogs show rare late-month fronts occasionally adding 0.5-1 inch. Final resolution awaits NWS tallies by May 1, with upset scenarios requiring an improbable 1+ inch deluge in the remaining hours to exceed 3 inches.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$65,174Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service observations at Central Park, New York City's official precipitation gauge, recorded 2.12 inches through April 27, 2026—roughly 58% of the 1991-2020 monthly climatological normal of 3.65 inches—driving trader consensus to a 95% implied probability for the 2-3 inch bin as models forecast minimal additional rainfall over April 28-30 amid persistent high-pressure ridging and below-normal moisture. This drier-than-average April aligns with neutral ENSO conditions limiting storm development, though historical analogs show rare late-month fronts occasionally adding 0.5-1 inch. Final resolution awaits NWS tallies by May 1, with upset scenarios requiring an improbable 1+ inch deluge in the remaining hours to exceed 3 inches.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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