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Elecciones·Primaria De Pensilvania

PA-07 Ganador de las primarias demócratas

icon for PA-07 Ganador de las primarias demócratas
Elecciones·Primaria De Pensilvania

PA-07 Ganador de las primarias demócratas

Bob Brooks 79%

Ryan Crosswell 16%

Lamont McClure 5.3%

Carol Obando-Derstine <1%

Polymarket

$22,766 Vol.

Bob Brooks 79%

Ryan Crosswell 16%

Lamont McClure 5.3%

Carol Obando-Derstine <1%

Polymarket

$22,766 Vol.

Bob Brooks

$3,837 Vol.

79%

Ryan Crosswell

$3,974 Vol.

16%

Lamont McClure

$4,771 Vol.

5%

Carol Obando-Derstine

$5,035 Vol.

1%

Lewis Shupe

$2,966 Vol.

<1%

Aiden Gonzalez

$2,183 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the Pennsylvania 7th Congressional District Democratic primary heavily favors Bob Brooks at 79% implied probability, driven by a recent Stronger Together tracking poll from April 16-19 showing him at 24% support—up 11 points since February—amid stagnant rivals, bolstering his momentum as the May 19 primary nears. High-profile endorsements from Gov. Josh Shapiro, Sen. Bernie Sanders, Pete Buttigieg, and most recently Sen. Elizabeth Warren, alongside union backing from firefighters and SEIU, enhance his working-class appeal in the competitive Lehigh Valley battleground. Ryan Crosswell holds second at 14.5% on superior fundraising exceeding $1.6 million, while former Northampton County Executive Lamont McClure trails at 5.3%; minor controversies around Brooks have not eroded his lead per current polling trends.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$22,766
Fecha de finalización
19 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 1:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the Pennsylvania 7th Congressional District Democratic primary heavily favors Bob Brooks at 79% implied probability, driven by a recent Stronger Together tracking poll from April 16-19 showing him at 24% support—up 11 points since February—amid stagnant rivals, bolstering his momentum as the May 19 primary nears. High-profile endorsements from Gov. Josh Shapiro, Sen. Bernie Sanders, Pete Buttigieg, and most recently Sen. Elizabeth Warren, alongside union backing from firefighters and SEIU, enhance his working-class appeal in the competitive Lehigh Valley battleground. Ryan Crosswell holds second at 14.5% on superior fundraising exceeding $1.6 million, while former Northampton County Executive Lamont McClure trails at 5.3%; minor controversies around Brooks have not eroded his lead per current polling trends.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$22,766
Fecha de finalización
19 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 1:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"PA-07 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Bob Brooks" con 79%, seguido de "Ryan Crosswell" con 16%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 79¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 79% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "PA-07 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" ha generado $22.8K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 20, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "PA-07 Ganador de las primarias demócratas", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "PA-07 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" es "Bob Brooks" con 79%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 79% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Ryan Crosswell" con 16%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "PA-07 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.