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Política·Primarias

PA-03 Ganador de las primarias demócratas

icon for PA-03 Ganador de las primarias demócratas
Política·Primarias

PA-03 Ganador de las primarias demócratas

Chris Rabb 54.9%

Sharif Street 39%

Ala Stanford 6.9%

Gabriel Cáceres <1%

Polymarket

$31,395 Vol.

Chris Rabb 54.9%

Sharif Street 39%

Ala Stanford 6.9%

Gabriel Cáceres <1%

Polymarket

$31,395 Vol.

Chris Rabb

$5,336 Vol.

55%

Sharif Street

$7,501 Vol.

39%

Ala Stanford

$3,626 Vol.

7%

Gabriel Cáceres

$4,407 Vol.

<1%

David Oxman

$4,794 Vol.

<1%

Morgan Cephas

$1,829 Vol.

<1%

Robin Toldens

$3,902 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary for the open seat vacated by retiring Rep. Dwight Evans, trader consensus favors state Rep. Chris Rabb at 55.7% implied probability, driven by his recent surge from leading first-quarter fundraising, endorsements by progressive figures like Reps. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jamie Raskin, and Ilhan Omar, plus the Philadelphia Inquirer and Justice Democrats, which propelled him to 44% in late-April polling after trailing earlier surveys. State Sen. Sharif Street holds steady at 38% on establishment endorsements and a new campaign ad amid the May 19 primary countdown, while pediatrician Ala Stanford fades to 6.4% following her last-minute withdrawal from an April 29 WHYY debate and despite TV spending. The closely contested race hinges on voter turnout in this Philadelphia battleground, with no recent polls shifting the three-way dynamic decisively.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$31,395
Fecha de finalización
19 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary for the open seat vacated by retiring Rep. Dwight Evans, trader consensus favors state Rep. Chris Rabb at 55.7% implied probability, driven by his recent surge from leading first-quarter fundraising, endorsements by progressive figures like Reps. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jamie Raskin, and Ilhan Omar, plus the Philadelphia Inquirer and Justice Democrats, which propelled him to 44% in late-April polling after trailing earlier surveys. State Sen. Sharif Street holds steady at 38% on establishment endorsements and a new campaign ad amid the May 19 primary countdown, while pediatrician Ala Stanford fades to 6.4% following her last-minute withdrawal from an April 29 WHYY debate and despite TV spending. The closely contested race hinges on voter turnout in this Philadelphia battleground, with no recent polls shifting the three-way dynamic decisively.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$31,395
Fecha de finalización
19 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"PA-03 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Chris Rabb" con 55%, seguido de "Sharif Street" con 39%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 55¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 55% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "PA-03 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" ha generado $31.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 25, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "PA-03 Ganador de las primarias demócratas", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "PA-03 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" es "Chris Rabb" con 55%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 55% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Sharif Street" con 39%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "PA-03 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.