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Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Oregón

icon for Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Oregón
Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Oregón

Christine Drazan 82%

Ed Diehl 10%

Chris Dudley 5.0%

Danielle Bethell <1%

Polymarket

$106,361 Vol.

Christine Drazan 82%

Ed Diehl 10%

Chris Dudley 5.0%

Danielle Bethell <1%

Polymarket

$106,361 Vol.

Christine Drazan

$21,647 Vol.

82%

Ed Diehl

$6,123 Vol.

10%

Chris Dudley

$13,047 Vol.

5%

Danielle Bethell

$8,246 Vol.

1%

Kyle Duyck

$19,648 Vol.

<1%

Robert Neuman

$9,434 Vol.

<1%

Caleb Kintz

$4,170 Vol.

<1%

Chael Sonnen

$12,229 Vol.

<1%

Brad T. Peters

$3,954 Vol.

<1%

David Medina

$3,827 Vol.

<1%

Patrick Kopke-Hales

$4,035 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oregon, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Christine Drazan leads trader consensus at 81.5% implied probability to win Oregon's Republican gubernatorial primary on May 19, driven by recent polls showing her double-digit advantage among likely voters—35-37% support in Nelson Research (April 14-17) and Hoffman Research (April 23-24) surveys—bolstered by high net favorability (+49) and name recognition from her 2022 nomination and near-upset against Gov. Tina Kotek. As mail ballots began arriving April 29, undecided voters (around 25%) appear poised to consolidate behind the frontrunner in this crowded, plurality primary field. Challengers like state Rep. Ed Diehl (10%) and ex-NBA player Chris Dudley (5.1%) trail despite recent debates, with their votes split among lower-tier candidates; no major shifts have emerged in the past week to alter momentum ahead of early voting.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oregon, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$106,361
Fecha de finalización
19 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 4, 2025, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oregon, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oregon, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Christine Drazan leads trader consensus at 81.5% implied probability to win Oregon's Republican gubernatorial primary on May 19, driven by recent polls showing her double-digit advantage among likely voters—35-37% support in Nelson Research (April 14-17) and Hoffman Research (April 23-24) surveys—bolstered by high net favorability (+49) and name recognition from her 2022 nomination and near-upset against Gov. Tina Kotek. As mail ballots began arriving April 29, undecided voters (around 25%) appear poised to consolidate behind the frontrunner in this crowded, plurality primary field. Challengers like state Rep. Ed Diehl (10%) and ex-NBA player Chris Dudley (5.1%) trail despite recent debates, with their votes split among lower-tier candidates; no major shifts have emerged in the past week to alter momentum ahead of early voting.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oregon, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$106,361
Fecha de finalización
19 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 4, 2025, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oregon, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Oregón" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Christine Drazan" con 82%, seguido de "Ed Diehl" con 10%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 82¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 82% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Oregón" ha generado $106.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 4, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Oregón", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Oregón" es "Christine Drazan" con 82%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 82% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Ed Diehl" con 10%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del gobernador de Oregón" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.