Preliminary scrutiny results from Colombia's March 8, 2026, parliamentary elections positioned Pacto Histórico (PH) as the largest Senate bloc with 25 curules out of 108, capturing over 4.4 million votes or 23% of the national total and surpassing Centro Democrático's 17 seats. Subsequent escrutinios and minor recounts through late March confirmed this tally without significant shifts, solidifying trader consensus at 95.4% for the 24-26 bin as final certification by the Registraduría Nacional approaches ahead of the May 31 presidential vote. PH's commanding lead reflects robust turnout in urban centers and coalition discipline, though no majority ensures coalition negotiations. Realistic challenges include unresolved legal appeals over vote counts in contested departments or indigenous circumscriptions, but historical post-election patterns show low reversal rates beyond preconteo.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado# de escaños ganados por PH en las elecciones al Senado de Colombia?
# de escaños ganados por PH en las elecciones al Senado de Colombia?
24-26 95.8%
27-29 4.8%
Más de 30 2.9%
18-20 1.3%
$124,122 Vol.
$124,122 Vol.
8 mar 2026
<18
1%
18-20
1%
21-23
<1%
24-26
96%
27-29
5%
Más de 30
3%
24-26 95.8%
27-29 4.8%
Más de 30 2.9%
18-20 1.3%
$124,122 Vol.
$124,122 Vol.
8 mar 2026
<18
$15,154 Vol.
1%
18-20
$16,779 Vol.
1%
21-23
$12,741 Vol.
<1%
24-26
$30,502 Vol.
96%
27-29
$30,633 Vol.
5%
Más de 30
$18,312 Vol.
3%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Preliminary scrutiny results from Colombia's March 8, 2026, parliamentary elections positioned Pacto Histórico (PH) as the largest Senate bloc with 25 curules out of 108, capturing over 4.4 million votes or 23% of the national total and surpassing Centro Democrático's 17 seats. Subsequent escrutinios and minor recounts through late March confirmed this tally without significant shifts, solidifying trader consensus at 95.4% for the 24-26 bin as final certification by the Registraduría Nacional approaches ahead of the May 31 presidential vote. PH's commanding lead reflects robust turnout in urban centers and coalition discipline, though no majority ensures coalition negotiations. Realistic challenges include unresolved legal appeals over vote counts in contested departments or indigenous circumscriptions, but historical post-election patterns show low reversal rates beyond preconteo.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Mercado abierto: Mar 5, 2026, 12:04 PM ET
Volumen
$124,122Fecha de finalización
8 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 5, 2026, 12:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Preliminary scrutiny results from Colombia's March 8, 2026, parliamentary elections positioned Pacto Histórico (PH) as the largest Senate bloc with 25 curules out of 108, capturing over 4.4 million votes or 23% of the national total and surpassing Centro Democrático's 17 seats. Subsequent escrutinios and minor recounts through late March confirmed this tally without significant shifts, solidifying trader consensus at 95.4% for the 24-26 bin as final certification by the Registraduría Nacional approaches ahead of the May 31 presidential vote. PH's commanding lead reflects robust turnout in urban centers and coalition discipline, though no majority ensures coalition negotiations. Realistic challenges include unresolved legal appeals over vote counts in contested departments or indigenous circumscriptions, but historical post-election patterns show low reversal rates beyond preconteo.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volumen
$124,122Fecha de finalización
8 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 5, 2026, 12:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Preliminary scrutiny results from Colombia's March 8, 2026, parliamentary elections positioned Pacto Histórico (PH) as the largest Senate bloc with 25 curules out of 108, capturing over 4.4 million votes or 23% of the national total and surpassing Centro Democrático's 17 seats. Subsequent escrutinios and minor recounts through late March confirmed this tally without significant shifts, solidifying trader consensus at 95.4% for the 24-26 bin as final certification by the Registraduría Nacional approaches ahead of the May 31 presidential vote. PH's commanding lead reflects robust turnout in urban centers and coalition discipline, though no majority ensures coalition negotiations. Realistic challenges include unresolved legal appeals over vote counts in contested departments or indigenous circumscriptions, but historical post-election patterns show low reversal rates beyond preconteo.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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