Former Gov. Roy Cooper's consistent double-digit leads over RNC chair Michael Whatley in post-primary polls have solidified trader consensus at 85.5% implied probability for a Democratic victory in North Carolina's open U.S. Senate race. Incumbent Sen. Thom Tillis's June 2025 retirement announcement created this battleground opportunity, with Cooper securing the Democratic nomination on March 3 amid superior name recognition from two gubernatorial terms. The latest Opinion Diagnostics survey (April 21-24, likely voters) shows Cooper at 50% to Whatley's 41%, echoing High Point University and others; independents favor Cooper while Republicans hold a registration edge. Cook Political Report rates it Leans Democrat, though midterm national environment, fundraising (Cooper outraising Whatley), and debates could alter dynamics before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Carolina del Norte
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Carolina del Norte
$51,429 Vol.
$51,429 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
86%
Republicano
15%
$51,429 Vol.
$51,429 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
$19,547 Vol.
86%
Republicano
$31,882 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Former Gov. Roy Cooper's consistent double-digit leads over RNC chair Michael Whatley in post-primary polls have solidified trader consensus at 85.5% implied probability for a Democratic victory in North Carolina's open U.S. Senate race. Incumbent Sen. Thom Tillis's June 2025 retirement announcement created this battleground opportunity, with Cooper securing the Democratic nomination on March 3 amid superior name recognition from two gubernatorial terms. The latest Opinion Diagnostics survey (April 21-24, likely voters) shows Cooper at 50% to Whatley's 41%, echoing High Point University and others; independents favor Cooper while Republicans hold a registration edge. Cook Political Report rates it Leans Democrat, though midterm national environment, fundraising (Cooper outraising Whatley), and debates could alter dynamics before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volumen
$51,429Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Former Gov. Roy Cooper's consistent double-digit leads over RNC chair Michael Whatley in post-primary polls have solidified trader consensus at 85.5% implied probability for a Democratic victory in North Carolina's open U.S. Senate race. Incumbent Sen. Thom Tillis's June 2025 retirement announcement created this battleground opportunity, with Cooper securing the Democratic nomination on March 3 amid superior name recognition from two gubernatorial terms. The latest Opinion Diagnostics survey (April 21-24, likely voters) shows Cooper at 50% to Whatley's 41%, echoing High Point University and others; independents favor Cooper while Republicans hold a registration edge. Cook Political Report rates it Leans Democrat, though midterm national environment, fundraising (Cooper outraising Whatley), and debates could alter dynamics before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$51,429Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former Gov. Roy Cooper's consistent double-digit leads over RNC chair Michael Whatley in post-primary polls have solidified trader consensus at 85.5% implied probability for a Democratic victory in North Carolina's open U.S. Senate race. Incumbent Sen. Thom Tillis's June 2025 retirement announcement created this battleground opportunity, with Cooper securing the Democratic nomination on March 3 amid superior name recognition from two gubernatorial terms. The latest Opinion Diagnostics survey (April 21-24, likely voters) shows Cooper at 50% to Whatley's 41%, echoing High Point University and others; independents favor Cooper while Republicans hold a registration edge. Cook Political Report rates it Leans Democrat, though midterm national environment, fundraising (Cooper outraising Whatley), and debates could alter dynamics before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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