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Elecciones·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas del NH-01

icon for Ganador de las primarias demócratas del NH-01
Elecciones·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas del NH-01

Stefany Shaheen 62%

Maura Sullivan 27%

Carleigh Beriont 8%

Heath Howard 1.1%

Polymarket

$13,599 Vol.

Stefany Shaheen 62%

Maura Sullivan 27%

Carleigh Beriont 8%

Heath Howard 1.1%

Polymarket

$13,599 Vol.

Stefany Shaheen

$8,352 Vol.

62%

Maura Sullivan

$3,368 Vol.

27%

Carleigh Beriont

$1,422 Vol.

8%

Heath Howard

$456 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus prices Stefany Shaheen as the clear frontrunner at 62% implied probability to win New Hampshire's open NH-01 Democratic primary on September 8, reflecting her persistent polling leads and strong name recognition tied to her mother, Sen. Jeanne Shaheen. Recent Q1 fundraising reports filed in early April showed challenger Maura Sullivan leading with $720,000 raised and $1.5 million cash on hand versus Shaheen's $510,000 and $1.1 million, boosting Sullivan to 25% odds amid perceptions of her momentum from prior quarters. A fragmented field leaves Carleigh Beriont at 8% and Heath Howard at 6.8%, with high undecideds in the August 2025 Saint Anselm poll (Shaheen 23%, Sullivan 9%) underscoring potential for endorsements or forums to shift dynamics before the incumbent-free race concludes.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$13,599
Fecha de finalización
8 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus prices Stefany Shaheen as the clear frontrunner at 62% implied probability to win New Hampshire's open NH-01 Democratic primary on September 8, reflecting her persistent polling leads and strong name recognition tied to her mother, Sen. Jeanne Shaheen. Recent Q1 fundraising reports filed in early April showed challenger Maura Sullivan leading with $720,000 raised and $1.5 million cash on hand versus Shaheen's $510,000 and $1.1 million, boosting Sullivan to 25% odds amid perceptions of her momentum from prior quarters. A fragmented field leaves Carleigh Beriont at 8% and Heath Howard at 6.8%, with high undecideds in the August 2025 Saint Anselm poll (Shaheen 23%, Sullivan 9%) underscoring potential for endorsements or forums to shift dynamics before the incumbent-free race concludes.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$13,599
Fecha de finalización
8 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas del NH-01" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Stefany Shaheen" con 62%, seguido de "Maura Sullivan" con 27%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 62¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 62% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del NH-01" ha generado $13.6K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 25, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del NH-01", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del NH-01" es "Stefany Shaheen" con 62%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 62% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Maura Sullivan" con 27%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del NH-01" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.