Stefany Shaheen leads trader consensus at 60% implied probability for New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on September 8, reflecting her polling dominance—including 33% in the January UNH survey—and endorsements from Portsmouth officials leveraging her mother Sen. Jeanne Shaheen's name recognition in this open seat race following Rep. Chris Pappas's Senate bid. Maura Sullivan trails at 28.5% despite dominating Q1 2026 fundraising with over $700,000 per April FEC reports, building support in Manchester amid a competitive field. Carleigh Beriont (8%) and Heath Howard (7.2%) lag with limited polling, cash, or endorsements, as recent filings underscore establishment frontrunners' edge over challengers.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las primarias demócratas del NH-01
Ganador de las primarias demócratas del NH-01
Stefany Shaheen 60%
Maura Sullivan 30%
Carleigh Beriont 8%
Heath Howard 1.1%
$13,599 Vol.
$13,599 Vol.
Stefany Shaheen
60%
Maura Sullivan
30%
Carleigh Beriont
8%
Heath Howard
7%
Stefany Shaheen 60%
Maura Sullivan 30%
Carleigh Beriont 8%
Heath Howard 1.1%
$13,599 Vol.
$13,599 Vol.
Stefany Shaheen
60%
Maura Sullivan
30%
Carleigh Beriont
8%
Heath Howard
7%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Nov 25, 2025, 4:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Stefany Shaheen leads trader consensus at 60% implied probability for New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on September 8, reflecting her polling dominance—including 33% in the January UNH survey—and endorsements from Portsmouth officials leveraging her mother Sen. Jeanne Shaheen's name recognition in this open seat race following Rep. Chris Pappas's Senate bid. Maura Sullivan trails at 28.5% despite dominating Q1 2026 fundraising with over $700,000 per April FEC reports, building support in Manchester amid a competitive field. Carleigh Beriont (8%) and Heath Howard (7.2%) lag with limited polling, cash, or endorsements, as recent filings underscore establishment frontrunners' edge over challengers.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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