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Elecciones·Groenlandia

¿Próximo primer ministro de Dinamarca?

icon for ¿Próximo primer ministro de Dinamarca?
Elecciones·Groenlandia

¿Próximo primer ministro de Dinamarca?

Mette Frederiksen 94%

Lars Løkke Rasmussen 5.1%

Troels Lund Poulsen 1.7%

Alex Vanopslagh <1%

Polymarket

$7,860,914 Vol.

Mette Frederiksen 94%

Lars Løkke Rasmussen 5.1%

Troels Lund Poulsen 1.7%

Alex Vanopslagh <1%

Polymarket

$7,860,914 Vol.

icon for Mette Frederiksen

Mette Frederiksen

$1,289,522 Vol.

94%

icon for Lars Løkke Rasmussen

Lars Løkke Rasmussen

$2,080,467 Vol.

5%

icon for Troels Lund Poulsen

Troels Lund Poulsen

$1,184,009 Vol.

2%

icon for Alex Vanopslagh

Alex Vanopslagh

$687,983 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lars Boje Mathiesen

Lars Boje Mathiesen

$95,054 Vol.

<1%

icon for Inger Støjberg

Inger Støjberg

$45,439 Vol.

<1%

icon for Martin Lidegaard

Martin Lidegaard

$50,767 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pia Olsen Dyhr

Pia Olsen Dyhr

$124,621 Vol.

<1%

icon for Morten Messerschmidt

Morten Messerschmidt

$2,094,283 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pelle Dragsted

Pelle Dragsted

$72,956 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mona Juul

Mona Juul

$135,812 Vol.

<1%

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen's commanding trader consensus stems from her Social Democrats topping the March 24, 2026, snap general election vote share despite a historically weak performance and no left-bloc majority in the Folketing. As the largest party leader and caretaker PM, she received the king's mandate to lead protracted coalition negotiations among 12 parties, a process ongoing into late April amid deadlocks with Moderates kingmaker Lars Løkke Rasmussen. Historical precedent favors the top party's premier in Denmark's proportional representation system through cross-bloc deals. Realistic challenges include negotiation collapse prompting the king to task Rasmussen or a centrist-right alternative, though no viable rival coalition has materialized.

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$7,860,914
Fecha de finalización
24 mar 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 26, 2026, 7:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen's commanding trader consensus stems from her Social Democrats topping the March 24, 2026, snap general election vote share despite a historically weak performance and no left-bloc majority in the Folketing. As the largest party leader and caretaker PM, she received the king's mandate to lead protracted coalition negotiations among 12 parties, a process ongoing into late April amid deadlocks with Moderates kingmaker Lars Løkke Rasmussen. Historical precedent favors the top party's premier in Denmark's proportional representation system through cross-bloc deals. Realistic challenges include negotiation collapse prompting the king to task Rasmussen or a centrist-right alternative, though no viable rival coalition has materialized.

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$7,860,914
Fecha de finalización
24 mar 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 26, 2026, 7:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Próximo primer ministro de Dinamarca?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Mette Frederiksen" con 94%, seguido de "Lars Løkke Rasmussen" con 5%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 94¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 94% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Próximo primer ministro de Dinamarca?" ha generado $7.9 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 27, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Próximo primer ministro de Dinamarca?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Próximo primer ministro de Dinamarca?" es "Mette Frederiksen" con 94%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 94% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Lars Løkke Rasmussen" con 5%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Próximo primer ministro de Dinamarca?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.