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Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de New Hampshire

icon for Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de New Hampshire
Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de New Hampshire

Cinde Warmington 76%

Deaglan McEachern 7.6%

John Kiper 5%

Tom Sherman 4.5%

Polymarket

$23,065 Vol.

Cinde Warmington 76%

Deaglan McEachern 7.6%

John Kiper 5%

Tom Sherman 4.5%

Polymarket

$23,065 Vol.

Cinde Warmington

$8,731 Vol.

76%

Deaglan McEachern

$8,767 Vol.

8%

John Kiper

$2,540 Vol.

5%

Tom Sherman

$1,875 Vol.

5%

Donovan Fenton

$1,151 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Cinde Warmington leads trader consensus at 75.5% implied probability for the New Hampshire Democratic gubernatorial primary on September 8, driven by her name recognition as former Executive Councilor and 2024 primary runner-up, plus her February 2026 campaign launch backed by over 100 early endorsements. Portsmouth Mayor Deaglan McEachern's late February decision against entering—to avoid dividing Democrats—has funneled support her way, relegating him to 7.5% despite the dropout. Lesser-known challengers John Kiper, a former town councilor actively campaigning on social media, and ex-state Senator Tom Sherman hold 4.5% each amid no recent primary polls, with trader odds reflecting low expected primary turnout favoring the incumbent-like frontrunner ahead of June filing deadlines. A recent UNH general election poll shows Warmington trailing GOP Governor Kelly Ayotte but competitive, underscoring her viability as nominee.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$23,065
Fecha de finalización
8 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Cinde Warmington leads trader consensus at 75.5% implied probability for the New Hampshire Democratic gubernatorial primary on September 8, driven by her name recognition as former Executive Councilor and 2024 primary runner-up, plus her February 2026 campaign launch backed by over 100 early endorsements. Portsmouth Mayor Deaglan McEachern's late February decision against entering—to avoid dividing Democrats—has funneled support her way, relegating him to 7.5% despite the dropout. Lesser-known challengers John Kiper, a former town councilor actively campaigning on social media, and ex-state Senator Tom Sherman hold 4.5% each amid no recent primary polls, with trader odds reflecting low expected primary turnout favoring the incumbent-like frontrunner ahead of June filing deadlines. A recent UNH general election poll shows Warmington trailing GOP Governor Kelly Ayotte but competitive, underscoring her viability as nominee.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$23,065
Fecha de finalización
8 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de New Hampshire" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Cinde Warmington" con 76%, seguido de "Deaglan McEachern" con 8%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 76¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 76% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de New Hampshire" ha generado $23.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 4, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de New Hampshire", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de New Hampshire" es "Cinde Warmington" con 76%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 76% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Deaglan McEachern" con 8%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de New Hampshire" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.