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Elecciones·Primarias

NE-02 Ganador de las primarias demócratas

icon for NE-02 Ganador de las primarias demócratas
Elecciones·Primarias

NE-02 Ganador de las primarias demócratas

Denise Powell 70%

John Cavanaugh 31%

Mark Johnston <1%

Evangelos Argyrakis <1%

Polymarket

$19,982 Vol.

Denise Powell 70%

John Cavanaugh 31%

Mark Johnston <1%

Evangelos Argyrakis <1%

Polymarket

$19,982 Vol.

Denise Powell

$5,571 Vol.

70%

John Cavanaugh

$9,885 Vol.

31%

Mark Johnston

$2,947 Vol.

<1%

Evangelos Argyrakis

$1,579 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 12, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Denise Powell holds a commanding trader consensus at 69.5% implied probability to win Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary on May 12, driven by her persistent fundraising lead—topping the field again in first-quarter reports released April 22—and a recent poll showing her ahead 41-34 over State Sen. John Cavanaugh among likely primary voters. Escalating negative ads from Cavanaugh targeting Powell coincided with new PACs backing Powell and opposing Cavanaugh last week, alongside public sparring over Israel policy and general election viability in this open swing district vacated by retiring Rep. Don Bacon. Cavanaugh's 31% reflects his legislative name recognition and earlier polling edges, but recent momentum favors Powell amid a consolidated two-way race, with minor candidates at negligible odds.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 12, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$19,982
Fecha de finalización
12 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 12, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 12, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Denise Powell holds a commanding trader consensus at 69.5% implied probability to win Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary on May 12, driven by her persistent fundraising lead—topping the field again in first-quarter reports released April 22—and a recent poll showing her ahead 41-34 over State Sen. John Cavanaugh among likely primary voters. Escalating negative ads from Cavanaugh targeting Powell coincided with new PACs backing Powell and opposing Cavanaugh last week, alongside public sparring over Israel policy and general election viability in this open swing district vacated by retiring Rep. Don Bacon. Cavanaugh's 31% reflects his legislative name recognition and earlier polling edges, but recent momentum favors Powell amid a consolidated two-way race, with minor candidates at negligible odds.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 12, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$19,982
Fecha de finalización
12 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 12, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"NE-02 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Denise Powell" con 70%, seguido de "John Cavanaugh" con 31%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 70¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 70% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "NE-02 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" ha generado $20K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 25, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "NE-02 Ganador de las primarias demócratas", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "NE-02 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" es "Denise Powell" con 70%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 70% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "John Cavanaugh" con 31%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "NE-02 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.