Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson's dominant 86% victory in the March 10, 2026, Democratic primary over challengers like attorney Evan Turnage has solidified trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 77.5% implied probability to retain Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat with a strong majority-minority electorate and history of lopsided margins—Thompson won 62%-38% in 2024. Republican nominee Ron Eller, who lost by the same score two years ago, advances after securing the GOP nomination, but the district's partisan voting index and Thompson's longevity since 1993 underpin the heavy Democratic lean. Recent SPLC Action Fund endorsement bolsters Thompson's fundraising edge ahead of the November general election, though national midterm dynamics could influence turnout in this safe blue stronghold.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMS-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MS-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$10,878 Vol.
$10,878 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
78%
Partido Republicano
22%
$10,878 Vol.
$10,878 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$6,907 Vol.
78%
Partido Republicano
$3,978 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson's dominant 86% victory in the March 10, 2026, Democratic primary over challengers like attorney Evan Turnage has solidified trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 77.5% implied probability to retain Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat with a strong majority-minority electorate and history of lopsided margins—Thompson won 62%-38% in 2024. Republican nominee Ron Eller, who lost by the same score two years ago, advances after securing the GOP nomination, but the district's partisan voting index and Thompson's longevity since 1993 underpin the heavy Democratic lean. Recent SPLC Action Fund endorsement bolsters Thompson's fundraising edge ahead of the November general election, though national midterm dynamics could influence turnout in this safe blue stronghold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$10,878Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson's dominant 86% victory in the March 10, 2026, Democratic primary over challengers like attorney Evan Turnage has solidified trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 77.5% implied probability to retain Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat with a strong majority-minority electorate and history of lopsided margins—Thompson won 62%-38% in 2024. Republican nominee Ron Eller, who lost by the same score two years ago, advances after securing the GOP nomination, but the district's partisan voting index and Thompson's longevity since 1993 underpin the heavy Democratic lean. Recent SPLC Action Fund endorsement bolsters Thompson's fundraising edge ahead of the November general election, though national midterm dynamics could influence turnout in this safe blue stronghold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$10,878Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson's dominant 86% victory in the March 10, 2026, Democratic primary over challengers like attorney Evan Turnage has solidified trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 77.5% implied probability to retain Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat with a strong majority-minority electorate and history of lopsided margins—Thompson won 62%-38% in 2024. Republican nominee Ron Eller, who lost by the same score two years ago, advances after securing the GOP nomination, but the district's partisan voting index and Thompson's longevity since 1993 underpin the heavy Democratic lean. Recent SPLC Action Fund endorsement bolsters Thompson's fundraising edge ahead of the November general election, though national midterm dynamics could influence turnout in this safe blue stronghold.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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