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icon for MO-01 Ganador de las primarias demócratas
Elecciones·Primarias

MO-01 Ganador de las primarias demócratas

icon for MO-01 Ganador de las primarias demócratas
Elecciones·Primarias

MO-01 Ganador de las primarias demócratas

NUEVO
Polymarket
NUEVO

Wesley Bell

$5,149 Vol.

70%

Cori Bush

$4,534 Vol.

30%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell holds a commanding trader consensus at 70% to win Missouri's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, driven by his narrow 2024 victory over Cori Bush, superior fundraising with roughly 10 times more cash on hand per recent filings, and incumbency advantages in a plurality-Black district spanning St. Louis. A mid-April Hit Strategies poll of likely voters showed Bell leading Bush 44%-40% with 17% undecided, yet markets favor Bell amid his challenge for a debate series and Bush's reliance on progressive endorsements like PAL PAC and National Nurses United. Bush's comeback bid highlights backlash to 2024 outside spending by pro-Israel groups, but Bell's resources position him as the frontrunner in this rematch.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$9,683
Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell holds a commanding trader consensus at 70% to win Missouri's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, driven by his narrow 2024 victory over Cori Bush, superior fundraising with roughly 10 times more cash on hand per recent filings, and incumbency advantages in a plurality-Black district spanning St. Louis. A mid-April Hit Strategies poll of likely voters showed Bell leading Bush 44%-40% with 17% undecided, yet markets favor Bell amid his challenge for a debate series and Bush's reliance on progressive endorsements like PAL PAC and National Nurses United. Bush's comeback bid highlights backlash to 2024 outside spending by pro-Israel groups, but Bell's resources position him as the frontrunner in this rematch.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$9,683
Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"MO-01 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Wesley Bell" con 70%, seguido de "Cori Bush" con 30%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 70¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 70% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"MO-01 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Nov 25, 2025. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "MO-01 Ganador de las primarias demócratas", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "MO-01 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" es "Wesley Bell" con 70%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 70% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Cori Bush" con 30%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "MO-01 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.