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Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Minnesota

icon for Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Minnesota
Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Minnesota

Amy Klobuchar 95%

Tim Walz 2.1%

Bill Gates Jr. 1.8%

Steve Simon 1.7%

Polymarket

$21,222 Vol.

Amy Klobuchar 95%

Tim Walz 2.1%

Bill Gates Jr. 1.8%

Steve Simon 1.7%

Polymarket

$21,222 Vol.

Amy Klobuchar

$15,040 Vol.

95%

Tim Walz

$1,415 Vol.

2%

Bill Gates Jr.

$2,206 Vol.

2%

Steve Simon

$2,380 Vol.

2%

Kobey Layne

$182 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.**Amy Klobuchar's commanding 94.5% implied probability in the Minnesota Democratic gubernatorial primary stems from incumbent Governor Tim Walz's January 5, 2026, announcement declining a third term amid scrutiny over state program fraud handling, clearing her path as the leading contender.** The U.S. Senator formally entered the race on January 29, quickly dominating the February 4 DFL caucus straw polls statewide and securing endorsements from figures like Pete Buttigieg alongside record fundraising. Recent polls, including Emerson College in February, affirm her double-digit leads over potential rivals and Republicans, reflecting her strong incumbency-like brand from prior Senate victories. With the August 11 primary months away, traders price minimal competition from longshots like Secretary of State Steve Simon or Tim Walz, though late entrants, scandals, health issues, or shifts in party dynamics could challenge her position.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$21,222
Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 5, 2026, 9:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.**Amy Klobuchar's commanding 94.5% implied probability in the Minnesota Democratic gubernatorial primary stems from incumbent Governor Tim Walz's January 5, 2026, announcement declining a third term amid scrutiny over state program fraud handling, clearing her path as the leading contender.** The U.S. Senator formally entered the race on January 29, quickly dominating the February 4 DFL caucus straw polls statewide and securing endorsements from figures like Pete Buttigieg alongside record fundraising. Recent polls, including Emerson College in February, affirm her double-digit leads over potential rivals and Republicans, reflecting her strong incumbency-like brand from prior Senate victories. With the August 11 primary months away, traders price minimal competition from longshots like Secretary of State Steve Simon or Tim Walz, though late entrants, scandals, health issues, or shifts in party dynamics could challenge her position.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$21,222
Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 5, 2026, 9:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Minnesota" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Amy Klobuchar" con 95%, seguido de "Tim Walz" con 2%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 95¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 95% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Minnesota" ha generado $21.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 5, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Minnesota", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Minnesota" es "Amy Klobuchar" con 95%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 95% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Tim Walz" con 2%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Minnesota" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.