Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Perry Johnson as the frontrunner at 51.5% implied probability to win Michigan's Republican gubernatorial primary on August 4, ahead of U.S. Rep. John James at 35.5%, betting heavily on Johnson's self-funding and aggressive ad spending to overcome polling deficits among likely GOP primary voters. A Detroit Regional Chamber survey of 500 likely voters (April 17-19, released April 28) showed James leading 37%-20% over Johnson, with former AG Mike Cox at 18%, yet markets diverge, anticipating Johnson's reported multimillion-dollar blitz—ramping up last week—will consolidate support in this wide-open field replacing term-limited Gov. Gretchen Whitmer. Escalating tensions include Johnson's April 22 lawsuit accusing James of misleading signage implying incumbency, while candidates like James, Johnson, and Cox met April 23 signature deadlines for ballot access; further polls, endorsements, or debates could tip the balance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoPerry Johnson 45%
John James 35%
Mike Cox 5.4%
Anthony Hudson 4.9%
$30,980 Vol.
$30,980 Vol.
Perry Johnson
45%
John James
35%
Mike Cox
5%
Anthony Hudson
5%
Joyce Gipson
3%
William Null
3%
Evan Space
8%
Karla Wagner
1%
Tom Leonard
1%
Aric Nesbitt
<1%
Ralph Rebandt
<1%
Perry Johnson 45%
John James 35%
Mike Cox 5.4%
Anthony Hudson 4.9%
$30,980 Vol.
$30,980 Vol.
Perry Johnson
45%
John James
35%
Mike Cox
5%
Anthony Hudson
5%
Joyce Gipson
3%
William Null
3%
Evan Space
8%
Karla Wagner
1%
Tom Leonard
1%
Aric Nesbitt
<1%
Ralph Rebandt
<1%
If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Perry Johnson as the frontrunner at 51.5% implied probability to win Michigan's Republican gubernatorial primary on August 4, ahead of U.S. Rep. John James at 35.5%, betting heavily on Johnson's self-funding and aggressive ad spending to overcome polling deficits among likely GOP primary voters. A Detroit Regional Chamber survey of 500 likely voters (April 17-19, released April 28) showed James leading 37%-20% over Johnson, with former AG Mike Cox at 18%, yet markets diverge, anticipating Johnson's reported multimillion-dollar blitz—ramping up last week—will consolidate support in this wide-open field replacing term-limited Gov. Gretchen Whitmer. Escalating tensions include Johnson's April 22 lawsuit accusing James of misleading signage implying incumbency, while candidates like James, Johnson, and Cox met April 23 signature deadlines for ballot access; further polls, endorsements, or debates could tip the balance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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