The open seat in Michigan's 11th congressional district, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Haley Stevens, features a Partisan Voter Index of D+9 and consistent ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic from nonpartisan analysts. Multiple Democratic candidates, including state Sen. Jeremy Moss and attorney Aisha Farooqi, are competing in the August 4 primary, reflecting a deep bench in this Oakland County district that encompasses Royal Oak, Pontiac, and Farmington Hills. Republican options remain limited, with Troy Mayor Ethan Baker as the primary frontrunner. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, including the district's recent election margins and suburban voter patterns. A major national political shift or unexpected primary outcome could theoretically alter general election dynamics, though the timeline to November leaves little room for such developments to overcome the baseline partisan advantage.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes del MI-11
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes del MI-11
$56,329 Vol.
$56,329 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
96%
Partido Republicano
1%
$56,329 Vol.
$56,329 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$44,047 Vol.
96%
Partido Republicano
$12,283 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Michigan's 11th congressional district, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Haley Stevens, features a Partisan Voter Index of D+9 and consistent ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic from nonpartisan analysts. Multiple Democratic candidates, including state Sen. Jeremy Moss and attorney Aisha Farooqi, are competing in the August 4 primary, reflecting a deep bench in this Oakland County district that encompasses Royal Oak, Pontiac, and Farmington Hills. Republican options remain limited, with Troy Mayor Ethan Baker as the primary frontrunner. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, including the district's recent election margins and suburban voter patterns. A major national political shift or unexpected primary outcome could theoretically alter general election dynamics, though the timeline to November leaves little room for such developments to overcome the baseline partisan advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$56,329Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Michigan's 11th congressional district, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Haley Stevens, features a Partisan Voter Index of D+9 and consistent ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic from nonpartisan analysts. Multiple Democratic candidates, including state Sen. Jeremy Moss and attorney Aisha Farooqi, are competing in the August 4 primary, reflecting a deep bench in this Oakland County district that encompasses Royal Oak, Pontiac, and Farmington Hills. Republican options remain limited, with Troy Mayor Ethan Baker as the primary frontrunner. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, including the district's recent election margins and suburban voter patterns. A major national political shift or unexpected primary outcome could theoretically alter general election dynamics, though the timeline to November leaves little room for such developments to overcome the baseline partisan advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$56,329Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Michigan's 11th congressional district, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Haley Stevens, features a Partisan Voter Index of D+9 and consistent ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic from nonpartisan analysts. Multiple Democratic candidates, including state Sen. Jeremy Moss and attorney Aisha Farooqi, are competing in the August 4 primary, reflecting a deep bench in this Oakland County district that encompasses Royal Oak, Pontiac, and Farmington Hills. Republican options remain limited, with Troy Mayor Ethan Baker as the primary frontrunner. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, including the district's recent election margins and suburban voter patterns. A major national political shift or unexpected primary outcome could theoretically alter general election dynamics, though the timeline to November leaves little room for such developments to overcome the baseline partisan advantage.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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