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Elecciones·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas del MI-11

icon for Ganador de las primarias demócratas del MI-11
Elecciones·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas del MI-11

Jeremy Moss 80%

Don Ufford 27.1%

Andy Levin 12%

Aisha Farooqi 8.2%

Polymarket

$13,629 Vol.

Jeremy Moss 80%

Don Ufford 27.1%

Andy Levin 12%

Aisha Farooqi 8.2%

Polymarket

$13,629 Vol.

Jeremy Moss

$5,121 Vol.

80%

Don Ufford

$32 Vol.

27%

Andy Levin

$2,731 Vol.

12%

Aisha Farooqi

$5,530 Vol.

8%

Dave Woodward

$214 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jeremy Moss commands an 80% implied probability in the MI-11 Democratic primary market, driven by his commanding lead in first-quarter 2026 fundraising reports released April 17, which highlighted superior cash-on-hand advantages as state Senate President Pro Tem. Gov. Gretchen Whitmer's November 2025 endorsement further bolstered his establishment credentials in the open seat vacated by Rep. Haley Stevens' U.S. Senate bid. Challenger Don Ufford at 27% draws progressive support as a Bloomfield Township businessman, while former Rep. Andy Levin's 12.5% reflects residual name recognition from prior runs; lesser-known Aisha Farooqi and Dave Woodward trail. With the August 4 primary approaching, trader consensus emphasizes Moss' organizational edge amid no public polls.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$13,629
Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jeremy Moss commands an 80% implied probability in the MI-11 Democratic primary market, driven by his commanding lead in first-quarter 2026 fundraising reports released April 17, which highlighted superior cash-on-hand advantages as state Senate President Pro Tem. Gov. Gretchen Whitmer's November 2025 endorsement further bolstered his establishment credentials in the open seat vacated by Rep. Haley Stevens' U.S. Senate bid. Challenger Don Ufford at 27% draws progressive support as a Bloomfield Township businessman, while former Rep. Andy Levin's 12.5% reflects residual name recognition from prior runs; lesser-known Aisha Farooqi and Dave Woodward trail. With the August 4 primary approaching, trader consensus emphasizes Moss' organizational edge amid no public polls.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$13,629
Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas del MI-11" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Jeremy Moss" con 80%, seguido de "Don Ufford" con 27%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 80¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 80% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del MI-11" ha generado $13.6K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 25, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del MI-11", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del MI-11" es "Jeremy Moss" con 80%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 80% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Don Ufford" con 27%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del MI-11" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.