Incumbent Rep. Chellie Pingree faces no Democratic primary opposition after challenger Tiffany Roberts withdrew ahead of the June 9 contest, solidifying her path in the Solid Democratic-rated ME-01 (D+11 Cook PVI), where she won 58.7% in the last general election. This entrenched advantage in the Portland-area battleground drives trader consensus to 91.5% implied probability for Democratic Party victory, reflecting the district's partisan lean and weak Republican primary field featuring prior nominee Ronald Russell and Joshua Pietrowicz. Scenarios to challenge include a standout GOP nominee amid a national Republican midterm wave, major scandal, or health issues, though fundamentals favor status quo retention.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoME-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
ME-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$25,169 Vol.
$25,169 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
92%
Partido Republicano
7%
$25,169 Vol.
$25,169 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$21,551 Vol.
92%
Partido Republicano
$3,618 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Chellie Pingree faces no Democratic primary opposition after challenger Tiffany Roberts withdrew ahead of the June 9 contest, solidifying her path in the Solid Democratic-rated ME-01 (D+11 Cook PVI), where she won 58.7% in the last general election. This entrenched advantage in the Portland-area battleground drives trader consensus to 91.5% implied probability for Democratic Party victory, reflecting the district's partisan lean and weak Republican primary field featuring prior nominee Ronald Russell and Joshua Pietrowicz. Scenarios to challenge include a standout GOP nominee amid a national Republican midterm wave, major scandal, or health issues, though fundamentals favor status quo retention.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$25,169Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Chellie Pingree faces no Democratic primary opposition after challenger Tiffany Roberts withdrew ahead of the June 9 contest, solidifying her path in the Solid Democratic-rated ME-01 (D+11 Cook PVI), where she won 58.7% in the last general election. This entrenched advantage in the Portland-area battleground drives trader consensus to 91.5% implied probability for Democratic Party victory, reflecting the district's partisan lean and weak Republican primary field featuring prior nominee Ronald Russell and Joshua Pietrowicz. Scenarios to challenge include a standout GOP nominee amid a national Republican midterm wave, major scandal, or health issues, though fundamentals favor status quo retention.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$25,169Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Chellie Pingree faces no Democratic primary opposition after challenger Tiffany Roberts withdrew ahead of the June 9 contest, solidifying her path in the Solid Democratic-rated ME-01 (D+11 Cook PVI), where she won 58.7% in the last general election. This entrenched advantage in the Portland-area battleground drives trader consensus to 91.5% implied probability for Democratic Party victory, reflecting the district's partisan lean and weak Republican primary field featuring prior nominee Ronald Russell and Joshua Pietrowicz. Scenarios to challenge include a standout GOP nominee amid a national Republican midterm wave, major scandal, or health issues, though fundamentals favor status quo retention.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes