Trader consensus heavily favors Dan Koh at 82% implied probability to win the open MA-06 Democratic primary on September 1, driven by his dominant fundraising—raising over $200,000 in January alone, outpacing rivals' combined totals, with campaign reports exceeding $3.5 million—and high-profile endorsements from Pete Buttigieg, former Labor Secretary Marty Walsh, and major building trades unions. These advantages, plus being first to qualify with over 2,000 signatures, have solidified his frontrunner status amid a crowded field, including Rachel Creemers and Diann Slavit Baylis as distant challengers. Recent Rick Jakious dropout narrows competition, though late endorsements or polling shifts could alter dynamics before early voting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoDan Koh 82%
Diann Slavit Baylis 6.6%
Tram Nguyen 3.9%
Mariah Lancaster 3.1%
$36,112 Vol.
$36,112 Vol.
Dan Koh
82%
Diann Slavit Baylis
7%
Tram Nguyen
4%
Mariah Lancaster
3%
John Beccia
2%
Seth Moulton
2%
Jamie Zahlaway Belsito
2%
Kevin Larivee
1%
Rachel Creemers
8%
Rick Jakious
1%
Dominick Pangallo
1%
Beth Andres-Beck
<1%
Dan Koh 82%
Diann Slavit Baylis 6.6%
Tram Nguyen 3.9%
Mariah Lancaster 3.1%
$36,112 Vol.
$36,112 Vol.
Dan Koh
82%
Diann Slavit Baylis
7%
Tram Nguyen
4%
Mariah Lancaster
3%
John Beccia
2%
Seth Moulton
2%
Jamie Zahlaway Belsito
2%
Kevin Larivee
1%
Rachel Creemers
8%
Rick Jakious
1%
Dominick Pangallo
1%
Beth Andres-Beck
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Dan Koh at 82% implied probability to win the open MA-06 Democratic primary on September 1, driven by his dominant fundraising—raising over $200,000 in January alone, outpacing rivals' combined totals, with campaign reports exceeding $3.5 million—and high-profile endorsements from Pete Buttigieg, former Labor Secretary Marty Walsh, and major building trades unions. These advantages, plus being first to qualify with over 2,000 signatures, have solidified his frontrunner status amid a crowded field, including Rachel Creemers and Diann Slavit Baylis as distant challengers. Recent Rick Jakious dropout narrows competition, though late endorsements or polling shifts could alter dynamics before early voting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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