Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) short-range forecasts for Tokyo's May 7 low temperature, with the official May 5 update projecting 15°C under partly cloudy skies and 30% precipitation chance, closely aligning with clustered odds around 14–18°C. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover impacting nocturnal radiative cooling—clearer conditions could drop to 13–14°C via enhanced infrared loss, while increased low-level clouds or southerly winds might trap heat for 16–18°C lows. Early May climatology averages 14–16°C minimums, with ensemble models showing spread due to evolving upper-air patterns; next JMA advisory on May 6 will refine this ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Tokio el 7 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Tokio el 7 de mayo?
16°C 43%
17°C 38%
15°C 19.7%
18°C 3.0%
NUEVO
$13,531 Vol.
NUEVO
$13,531 Vol.
7 may 2026
12°C o menos
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
20%
16°C
35%
17°C
32%
18°C
3%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C o más
<1%
16°C 43%
17°C 38%
15°C 19.7%
18°C 3.0%
NUEVO
$13,531 Vol.
NUEVO
$13,531 Vol.
7 may 2026
12°C o menos
$6,647 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$765 Vol.
1%
14°C
$916 Vol.
1%
15°C
$253 Vol.
20%
16°C
$110 Vol.
35%
17°C
$29 Vol.
32%
18°C
$356 Vol.
3%
19°C
$645 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$397 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,737 Vol.
<1%
22°C o más
$1,675 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) short-range forecasts for Tokyo's May 7 low temperature, with the official May 5 update projecting 15°C under partly cloudy skies and 30% precipitation chance, closely aligning with clustered odds around 14–18°C. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover impacting nocturnal radiative cooling—clearer conditions could drop to 13–14°C via enhanced infrared loss, while increased low-level clouds or southerly winds might trap heat for 16–18°C lows. Early May climatology averages 14–16°C minimums, with ensemble models showing spread due to evolving upper-air patterns; next JMA advisory on May 6 will refine this ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 5, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volumen
$13,531Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) short-range forecasts for Tokyo's May 7 low temperature, with the official May 5 update projecting 15°C under partly cloudy skies and 30% precipitation chance, closely aligning with clustered odds around 14–18°C. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover impacting nocturnal radiative cooling—clearer conditions could drop to 13–14°C via enhanced infrared loss, while increased low-level clouds or southerly winds might trap heat for 16–18°C lows. Early May climatology averages 14–16°C minimums, with ensemble models showing spread due to evolving upper-air patterns; next JMA advisory on May 6 will refine this ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$13,531Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) short-range forecasts for Tokyo's May 7 low temperature, with the official May 5 update projecting 15°C under partly cloudy skies and 30% precipitation chance, closely aligning with clustered odds around 14–18°C. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover impacting nocturnal radiative cooling—clearer conditions could drop to 13–14°C via enhanced infrared loss, while increased low-level clouds or southerly winds might trap heat for 16–18°C lows. Early May climatology averages 14–16°C minimums, with ensemble models showing spread due to evolving upper-air patterns; next JMA advisory on May 6 will refine this ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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