Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Shenzhen's highest temperature on May 8 at Bao'an International Airport, with implied probabilities clustered around 26–28°C due to expected showers and overcast skies suppressing peak heating. Recent updates from ensemble models like those powering Weather.com (28°C high, 75% precip) and timeanddate.com (28°C, 63% rain chance) show convergence after May 6–7 forecasts trended warmer at 27–30°C amid cloudy conditions, but incoming thundery showers per BBC (29°C possible) introduce variability from cloud cover, high humidity (70–80%), and light winds limiting solar insolation. Seasonal May averages hover near 29.5°C, yet rainy patterns typical of early monsoon transition cap extremes; watch overnight GFS/ECMWF runs and May 7 observations for shifts ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 8?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 8?
28°C 35%
27°C 20%
29°C 13%
30°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 may 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
8%
27°C
20%
28°C
35%
29°C
13%
30°C
12%
31°C or higher
2%
28°C 35%
27°C 20%
29°C 13%
30°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 may 2026
21°C or below
$26 Vol.
1%
22°C
$22 Vol.
1%
23°C
$18 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$54 Vol.
2%
25°C
$5 Vol.
3%
26°C
$42 Vol.
8%
27°C
$0 Vol.
20%
28°C
$8 Vol.
35%
29°C
$15 Vol.
13%
30°C
$11 Vol.
12%
31°C or higher
$30 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Shenzhen's highest temperature on May 8 at Bao'an International Airport, with implied probabilities clustered around 26–28°C due to expected showers and overcast skies suppressing peak heating. Recent updates from ensemble models like those powering Weather.com (28°C high, 75% precip) and timeanddate.com (28°C, 63% rain chance) show convergence after May 6–7 forecasts trended warmer at 27–30°C amid cloudy conditions, but incoming thundery showers per BBC (29°C possible) introduce variability from cloud cover, high humidity (70–80%), and light winds limiting solar insolation. Seasonal May averages hover near 29.5°C, yet rainy patterns typical of early monsoon transition cap extremes; watch overnight GFS/ECMWF runs and May 7 observations for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 6, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volumen
$214Fecha de finalización
8 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 6, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Shenzhen's highest temperature on May 8 at Bao'an International Airport, with implied probabilities clustered around 26–28°C due to expected showers and overcast skies suppressing peak heating. Recent updates from ensemble models like those powering Weather.com (28°C high, 75% precip) and timeanddate.com (28°C, 63% rain chance) show convergence after May 6–7 forecasts trended warmer at 27–30°C amid cloudy conditions, but incoming thundery showers per BBC (29°C possible) introduce variability from cloud cover, high humidity (70–80%), and light winds limiting solar insolation. Seasonal May averages hover near 29.5°C, yet rainy patterns typical of early monsoon transition cap extremes; watch overnight GFS/ECMWF runs and May 7 observations for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$214Fecha de finalización
8 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 6, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Shenzhen's highest temperature on May 8 at Bao'an International Airport, with implied probabilities clustered around 26–28°C due to expected showers and overcast skies suppressing peak heating. Recent updates from ensemble models like those powering Weather.com (28°C high, 75% precip) and timeanddate.com (28°C, 63% rain chance) show convergence after May 6–7 forecasts trended warmer at 27–30°C amid cloudy conditions, but incoming thundery showers per BBC (29°C possible) introduce variability from cloud cover, high humidity (70–80%), and light winds limiting solar insolation. Seasonal May averages hover near 29.5°C, yet rainy patterns typical of early monsoon transition cap extremes; watch overnight GFS/ECMWF runs and May 7 observations for shifts ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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