Indian Meteorological Department observations show Lucknow's maximum temperature on May 5 at just 28°C—11.4°C below normal—amid partly cloudy skies and thundery developments, continuing a rare cool spell after early-May rains suppressed heat. Forecasts for the coming days predict highs around 31°C with isolated thunderstorms, gusty winds, and light rain likely over Uttar Pradesh, limiting solar heating and surface warming. This IMD data drives the 88% market-implied probability for 35°C or below on May 8, reflecting trader consensus on persistent cloud cover and convective activity overriding typical pre-monsoon peaks near 40°C. New model runs or clearing skies could shift odds, with updates expected in IMD's daily bulletins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 8?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 8?
35°C or below 93%
36°C 7%
38°C 1.2%
37°C 1.0%
35°C or below
93%
36°C
7%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C
1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
35°C or below 93%
36°C 7%
38°C 1.2%
37°C 1.0%
35°C or below
93%
36°C
7%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C
1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 6, 2026, 12:48 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Indian Meteorological Department observations show Lucknow's maximum temperature on May 5 at just 28°C—11.4°C below normal—amid partly cloudy skies and thundery developments, continuing a rare cool spell after early-May rains suppressed heat. Forecasts for the coming days predict highs around 31°C with isolated thunderstorms, gusty winds, and light rain likely over Uttar Pradesh, limiting solar heating and surface warming. This IMD data drives the 88% market-implied probability for 35°C or below on May 8, reflecting trader consensus on persistent cloud cover and convective activity overriding typical pre-monsoon peaks near 40°C. New model runs or clearing skies could shift odds, with updates expected in IMD's daily bulletins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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