Trader consensus splits nearly evenly between 34-35°C and 31-33°C for Jakarta's May 8 high temperature, driven by conflicting signals from official BMKG forecasts and global models amid the early dry season transition. BMKG's May 5 update projects clear skies (cerah) across DKI Jakarta with highs of 30-31°C, high humidity (65-95%), and low rain risk, tilting toward lower brackets. Yet, recent days' observed peaks near 34°C—exceeding prior forecasts—plus ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing stronger solar heating and minimal convection, support 34-35°C via urban heat island amplification in the city center. Differentiating factor: afternoon sea breeze or isolated thunderstorms capping temps below 33°C versus prolonged insolation. Next BMKG advisory expected May 6 could resolve uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 8?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 8?
34°C 36%
35°C 30%
33°C 22%
36°C 9.4%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
8%
33°C
22%
34°C
36%
35°C
30%
36°C
9%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 36%
35°C 30%
33°C 22%
36°C 9.4%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
8%
33°C
22%
34°C
36%
35°C
30%
36°C
9%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 6, 2026, 12:48 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus splits nearly evenly between 34-35°C and 31-33°C for Jakarta's May 8 high temperature, driven by conflicting signals from official BMKG forecasts and global models amid the early dry season transition. BMKG's May 5 update projects clear skies (cerah) across DKI Jakarta with highs of 30-31°C, high humidity (65-95%), and low rain risk, tilting toward lower brackets. Yet, recent days' observed peaks near 34°C—exceeding prior forecasts—plus ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing stronger solar heating and minimal convection, support 34-35°C via urban heat island amplification in the city center. Differentiating factor: afternoon sea breeze or isolated thunderstorms capping temps below 33°C versus prolonged insolation. Next BMKG advisory expected May 6 could resolve uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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