Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS project Shanghai's May 8 high temperature near 22°C, with a 2-3°C spread reflecting uncertainty in low-level cloud cover and sea breeze strength from the East China Sea. This explains the near-equal implied probabilities across 20-24°C outcomes, as traders weigh sunny subsidence favoring upper-end highs against partly cloudy conditions or marine incursions capping temperatures lower. Recent observations show a warm anomaly—27°C on May 5 amid high pressure—followed by moderation in today's outlook, aligning with early May climatological averages of 23°C. Watch CMA's evening update and tomorrow's model runs for shifts ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 8?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 8?
21°C 28%
22°C 26%
23°C 14%
20°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 may 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
11%
21°C
28%
22°C
26%
23°C
14%
24°C
8%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
1%
21°C 28%
22°C 26%
23°C 14%
20°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 may 2026
17°C or below
$93 Vol.
1%
18°C
$22 Vol.
2%
19°C
$21 Vol.
4%
20°C
$191 Vol.
11%
21°C
$70 Vol.
28%
22°C
$52 Vol.
26%
23°C
$42 Vol.
14%
24°C
$47 Vol.
8%
25°C
$84 Vol.
2%
26°C
$42 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$126 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS project Shanghai's May 8 high temperature near 22°C, with a 2-3°C spread reflecting uncertainty in low-level cloud cover and sea breeze strength from the East China Sea. This explains the near-equal implied probabilities across 20-24°C outcomes, as traders weigh sunny subsidence favoring upper-end highs against partly cloudy conditions or marine incursions capping temperatures lower. Recent observations show a warm anomaly—27°C on May 5 amid high pressure—followed by moderation in today's outlook, aligning with early May climatological averages of 23°C. Watch CMA's evening update and tomorrow's model runs for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 6, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
Volumen
$790Fecha de finalización
8 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 6, 2026, 12:35 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS project Shanghai's May 8 high temperature near 22°C, with a 2-3°C spread reflecting uncertainty in low-level cloud cover and sea breeze strength from the East China Sea. This explains the near-equal implied probabilities across 20-24°C outcomes, as traders weigh sunny subsidence favoring upper-end highs against partly cloudy conditions or marine incursions capping temperatures lower. Recent observations show a warm anomaly—27°C on May 5 amid high pressure—followed by moderation in today's outlook, aligning with early May climatological averages of 23°C. Watch CMA's evening update and tomorrow's model runs for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$790Fecha de finalización
8 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 6, 2026, 12:35 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS project Shanghai's May 8 high temperature near 22°C, with a 2-3°C spread reflecting uncertainty in low-level cloud cover and sea breeze strength from the East China Sea. This explains the near-equal implied probabilities across 20-24°C outcomes, as traders weigh sunny subsidence favoring upper-end highs against partly cloudy conditions or marine incursions capping temperatures lower. Recent observations show a warm anomaly—27°C on May 5 amid high pressure—followed by moderation in today's outlook, aligning with early May climatological averages of 23°C. Watch CMA's evening update and tomorrow's model runs for shifts ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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