The National Weather Service's latest forecast for New York City projects a high temperature near 66°F at Central Park on May 6, driven by a passing low-pressure system ushering in clouds and showers between 11 a.m. and 5 p.m., which suppress diurnal heating despite mild southwest winds around 10 mph. Morning observations already hit 66-67°F around midnight, but increased cloud cover and precipitation likelihood—60% per models like GFS—limit potential for higher readings, aligning trader consensus with 66-67°F at 41% implied probability and 68-69°F at 25%. Early May's cooler-than-normal pattern, with recent highs in the 50s-60s, reinforces this positioning. Watch for hourly NWS updates and real-time Central Park measurements as resolution nears by midnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in NYC on May 6?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 6?
66-67°F 45%
68-69°F 31%
70-71°F 11%
64-65°F 7.4%
$305,623 Vol.
$305,623 Vol.
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
7%
66-67°F
45%
68-69°F
31%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
7%
74°F or higher
3%
66-67°F 45%
68-69°F 31%
70-71°F 11%
64-65°F 7.4%
$305,623 Vol.
$305,623 Vol.
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
7%
66-67°F
45%
68-69°F
31%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
7%
74°F or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 4, 2026, 12:48 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The National Weather Service's latest forecast for New York City projects a high temperature near 66°F at Central Park on May 6, driven by a passing low-pressure system ushering in clouds and showers between 11 a.m. and 5 p.m., which suppress diurnal heating despite mild southwest winds around 10 mph. Morning observations already hit 66-67°F around midnight, but increased cloud cover and precipitation likelihood—60% per models like GFS—limit potential for higher readings, aligning trader consensus with 66-67°F at 41% implied probability and 68-69°F at 25%. Early May's cooler-than-normal pattern, with recent highs in the 50s-60s, reinforces this positioning. Watch for hourly NWS updates and real-time Central Park measurements as resolution nears by midnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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