Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Paris's highest temperature on May 8, with implied probabilities clustered around 19–22°C as European ensemble guidance (ECMWF, GFS) centers on 20–21°C amid transitional spring weather. After a cool early May featuring northerly flows that capped May 5's high at 15°C per official observations, recent Météo-France updates show southwesterly winds ushering milder air over Île-de-France, but persistent atmospheric instability risks showers and cloud cover suppressing diurnal heating by 2–3°C. Differentiating factors include afternoon sunshine breaks potentially pushing toward 22°C versus overcast conditions favoring 18–19°C; watch hourly forecasts and new model runs through May 7 for resolution at Paris-Le Bourget Airport. Historical May averages near 19°C align with this narrow spread.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Paris on May 8?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 8?
21°C 38%
22°C 27%
20°C 20%
19°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 may 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
12%
20°C
20%
21°C
38%
22°C
27%
23°C
5%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
<1%
21°C 38%
22°C 27%
20°C 20%
19°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 may 2026
15°C or below
$251 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$244 Vol.
1%
17°C
$313 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$454 Vol.
2%
19°C
$234 Vol.
12%
20°C
$302 Vol.
20%
21°C
$147 Vol.
38%
22°C
$244 Vol.
27%
23°C
$117 Vol.
5%
24°C
$114 Vol.
1%
25°C or higher
$193 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Paris's highest temperature on May 8, with implied probabilities clustered around 19–22°C as European ensemble guidance (ECMWF, GFS) centers on 20–21°C amid transitional spring weather. After a cool early May featuring northerly flows that capped May 5's high at 15°C per official observations, recent Météo-France updates show southwesterly winds ushering milder air over Île-de-France, but persistent atmospheric instability risks showers and cloud cover suppressing diurnal heating by 2–3°C. Differentiating factors include afternoon sunshine breaks potentially pushing toward 22°C versus overcast conditions favoring 18–19°C; watch hourly forecasts and new model runs through May 7 for resolution at Paris-Le Bourget Airport. Historical May averages near 19°C align with this narrow spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 6, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Volumen
$2,614Fecha de finalización
8 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 6, 2026, 12:16 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Paris's highest temperature on May 8, with implied probabilities clustered around 19–22°C as European ensemble guidance (ECMWF, GFS) centers on 20–21°C amid transitional spring weather. After a cool early May featuring northerly flows that capped May 5's high at 15°C per official observations, recent Météo-France updates show southwesterly winds ushering milder air over Île-de-France, but persistent atmospheric instability risks showers and cloud cover suppressing diurnal heating by 2–3°C. Differentiating factors include afternoon sunshine breaks potentially pushing toward 22°C versus overcast conditions favoring 18–19°C; watch hourly forecasts and new model runs through May 7 for resolution at Paris-Le Bourget Airport. Historical May averages near 19°C align with this narrow spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,614Fecha de finalización
8 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 6, 2026, 12:16 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Paris's highest temperature on May 8, with implied probabilities clustered around 19–22°C as European ensemble guidance (ECMWF, GFS) centers on 20–21°C amid transitional spring weather. After a cool early May featuring northerly flows that capped May 5's high at 15°C per official observations, recent Météo-France updates show southwesterly winds ushering milder air over Île-de-France, but persistent atmospheric instability risks showers and cloud cover suppressing diurnal heating by 2–3°C. Differentiating factors include afternoon sunshine breaks potentially pushing toward 22°C versus overcast conditions favoring 18–19°C; watch hourly forecasts and new model runs through May 7 for resolution at Paris-Le Bourget Airport. Historical May averages near 19°C align with this narrow spread.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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