Current forecast ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like GFS and ECMWF project Shanghai's pre-dawn low temperature on May 16 at approximately 19°C, supported by mild southerly winds transporting warmer air masses and partly cloudy conditions that curb radiative cooling overnight. Recent observations through May 13 show stable lows of 18–20°C amid transitioning spring patterns, aligning with mid-May climatological norms of 17–19°C medians based on historical data from Shanghai Pudong Airport. Trader consensus prices 19°C at 36.5% implied probability, reflecting model agreement but inherent short-range uncertainty; new 12Z runs expected May 15 could refine probabilities as the resolution window approaches.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 16 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 16 de mayo?
19°C 38%
18°C 12%
17°C 12%
20°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 may 2026
14°C o menos
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
12%
18°C
12%
19°C
36%
20°C
10%
21°C
5%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C o más
1%
19°C 38%
18°C 12%
17°C 12%
20°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 may 2026
14°C o menos
$2,865 Vol.
1%
15°C
$2,439 Vol.
1%
16°C
$717 Vol.
5%
17°C
$1,021 Vol.
12%
18°C
$86 Vol.
12%
19°C
$57 Vol.
36%
20°C
$32 Vol.
10%
21°C
$20 Vol.
5%
22°C
$243 Vol.
1%
23°C
$132 Vol.
3%
24°C o más
$1,408 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like GFS and ECMWF project Shanghai's pre-dawn low temperature on May 16 at approximately 19°C, supported by mild southerly winds transporting warmer air masses and partly cloudy conditions that curb radiative cooling overnight. Recent observations through May 13 show stable lows of 18–20°C amid transitioning spring patterns, aligning with mid-May climatological norms of 17–19°C medians based on historical data from Shanghai Pudong Airport. Trader consensus prices 19°C at 36.5% implied probability, reflecting model agreement but inherent short-range uncertainty; new 12Z runs expected May 15 could refine probabilities as the resolution window approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$9,022Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like GFS and ECMWF project Shanghai's pre-dawn low temperature on May 16 at approximately 19°C, supported by mild southerly winds transporting warmer air masses and partly cloudy conditions that curb radiative cooling overnight. Recent observations through May 13 show stable lows of 18–20°C amid transitioning spring patterns, aligning with mid-May climatological norms of 17–19°C medians based on historical data from Shanghai Pudong Airport. Trader consensus prices 19°C at 36.5% implied probability, reflecting model agreement but inherent short-range uncertainty; new 12Z runs expected May 15 could refine probabilities as the resolution window approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$9,022Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDCurrent forecast ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like GFS and ECMWF project Shanghai's pre-dawn low temperature on May 16 at approximately 19°C, supported by mild southerly winds transporting warmer air masses and partly cloudy conditions that curb radiative cooling overnight. Recent observations through May 13 show stable lows of 18–20°C amid transitioning spring patterns, aligning with mid-May climatological norms of 17–19°C medians based on historical data from Shanghai Pudong Airport. Trader consensus prices 19°C at 36.5% implied probability, reflecting model agreement but inherent short-range uncertainty; new 12Z runs expected May 15 could refine probabilities as the resolution window approaches.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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