Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, issued May 5, projects a 12°C low for Seoul on May 7 amid light rain from a passing frontal system, with 60% afternoon precipitation probability potentially increasing cloud cover and limiting radiational cooling overnight. However, international models via AccuWeather indicate a cooler 8°C low under persistent clouds, fostering trader consensus around 9–11°C as the market-implied most likely range. Differentiating factors include the front's exact timing—delayed clearance could trap heat for higher lows near 12°C, while early dissipation enables clearer skies and drops to 9°C or below, consistent with early May climatological averages of 10°C. Next KMA update expected May 6 morning may refine model consensus amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Seúl el 7 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Seúl el 7 de mayo?
12°C 46%
11°C 23%
14°C 8%
10°C 5.1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 may 2026
7°C o menos
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
5%
11°C
23%
12°C
53%
13°C
9%
14°C
17%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C o más
<1%
12°C 46%
11°C 23%
14°C 8%
10°C 5.1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 may 2026
7°C o menos
$422 Vol.
1%
8°C
$809 Vol.
1%
9°C
$455 Vol.
1%
10°C
$77 Vol.
5%
11°C
$29 Vol.
23%
12°C
$146 Vol.
53%
13°C
$416 Vol.
9%
14°C
$118 Vol.
17%
15°C
$88 Vol.
1%
16°C
$744 Vol.
<1%
17°C o más
$2,169 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, issued May 5, projects a 12°C low for Seoul on May 7 amid light rain from a passing frontal system, with 60% afternoon precipitation probability potentially increasing cloud cover and limiting radiational cooling overnight. However, international models via AccuWeather indicate a cooler 8°C low under persistent clouds, fostering trader consensus around 9–11°C as the market-implied most likely range. Differentiating factors include the front's exact timing—delayed clearance could trap heat for higher lows near 12°C, while early dissipation enables clearer skies and drops to 9°C or below, consistent with early May climatological averages of 10°C. Next KMA update expected May 6 morning may refine model consensus amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$5,457Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, issued May 5, projects a 12°C low for Seoul on May 7 amid light rain from a passing frontal system, with 60% afternoon precipitation probability potentially increasing cloud cover and limiting radiational cooling overnight. However, international models via AccuWeather indicate a cooler 8°C low under persistent clouds, fostering trader consensus around 9–11°C as the market-implied most likely range. Differentiating factors include the front's exact timing—delayed clearance could trap heat for higher lows near 12°C, while early dissipation enables clearer skies and drops to 9°C or below, consistent with early May climatological averages of 10°C. Next KMA update expected May 6 morning may refine model consensus amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$5,457Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, issued May 5, projects a 12°C low for Seoul on May 7 amid light rain from a passing frontal system, with 60% afternoon precipitation probability potentially increasing cloud cover and limiting radiational cooling overnight. However, international models via AccuWeather indicate a cooler 8°C low under persistent clouds, fostering trader consensus around 9–11°C as the market-implied most likely range. Differentiating factors include the front's exact timing—delayed clearance could trap heat for higher lows near 12°C, while early dissipation enables clearer skies and drops to 9°C or below, consistent with early May climatological averages of 10°C. Next KMA update expected May 6 morning may refine model consensus amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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