Global forecast models including GFS and ECMWF, alongside Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) guidance, show consensus for a Tel Aviv high near 22°C today, driving trader-implied probabilities with 22°C at 56% and 21°C at 24%. This positioning stems from a recent northerly cool air advection event over the past 24-48 hours, bringing unseasonably low temperatures—well below early May climatological averages of 24-26°C—coupled with partly cloudy to cloudy skies limiting solar heating and isolated light rain chances in central Israel. IMS notes a slight daytime warmup from morning lows around 10-16°C but persistent suppression. Afternoon clearing could nudge toward 23°C (12.5% odds), with final resolution based on peak observations at Ben Gurion Airport.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 6?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 6?
21°C 85%
22°C 9%
23°C 2.6%
25°C <1%
NUEVO
$42,100 Vol.
NUEVO
$42,100 Vol.
6 may 2026
20°C
<1%
21°C
85%
22°C
9%
23°C
3%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 85%
22°C 9%
23°C 2.6%
25°C <1%
NUEVO
$42,100 Vol.
NUEVO
$42,100 Vol.
6 may 2026
20°C
$4,023 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,741 Vol.
85%
22°C
$3,575 Vol.
9%
23°C
$2,829 Vol.
3%
24°C
$2,080 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,338 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$1,596 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Global forecast models including GFS and ECMWF, alongside Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) guidance, show consensus for a Tel Aviv high near 22°C today, driving trader-implied probabilities with 22°C at 56% and 21°C at 24%. This positioning stems from a recent northerly cool air advection event over the past 24-48 hours, bringing unseasonably low temperatures—well below early May climatological averages of 24-26°C—coupled with partly cloudy to cloudy skies limiting solar heating and isolated light rain chances in central Israel. IMS notes a slight daytime warmup from morning lows around 10-16°C but persistent suppression. Afternoon clearing could nudge toward 23°C (12.5% odds), with final resolution based on peak observations at Ben Gurion Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 4, 2026, 12:18 PM ET
Volumen
$42,100Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Global forecast models including GFS and ECMWF, alongside Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) guidance, show consensus for a Tel Aviv high near 22°C today, driving trader-implied probabilities with 22°C at 56% and 21°C at 24%. This positioning stems from a recent northerly cool air advection event over the past 24-48 hours, bringing unseasonably low temperatures—well below early May climatological averages of 24-26°C—coupled with partly cloudy to cloudy skies limiting solar heating and isolated light rain chances in central Israel. IMS notes a slight daytime warmup from morning lows around 10-16°C but persistent suppression. Afternoon clearing could nudge toward 23°C (12.5% odds), with final resolution based on peak observations at Ben Gurion Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$42,100Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Global forecast models including GFS and ECMWF, alongside Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) guidance, show consensus for a Tel Aviv high near 22°C today, driving trader-implied probabilities with 22°C at 56% and 21°C at 24%. This positioning stems from a recent northerly cool air advection event over the past 24-48 hours, bringing unseasonably low temperatures—well below early May climatological averages of 24-26°C—coupled with partly cloudy to cloudy skies limiting solar heating and isolated light rain chances in central Israel. IMS notes a slight daytime warmup from morning lows around 10-16°C but persistent suppression. Afternoon clearing could nudge toward 23°C (12.5% odds), with final resolution based on peak observations at Ben Gurion Airport.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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