Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 13°C (37%) and 12°C (36%) for Paris-Le Bourget Airport's lowest temperature on May 2, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts clustering overnight minima in this narrow 1°C range amid variable spring patterns. Recent Météo-France bulletins highlight a cold upper-air trough from the North Sea fueling stormy conditions through the May 1 weekend, with residual low-level moisture and light winds expected to temper radiative cooling after evening showers. Differentiating factors include the extent of nocturnal clearing—partial cloudiness may hold lows at 13°C, while breaks could permit a dip to 12°C—against typical early-May baselines of 9–10°C. Watch for this afternoon's 12Z model runs and Météo-France evening update for potential shifts ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 2 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 2 de mayo?
15°C 27%
13°C 26%
12°C 25%
14°C 20%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
9°C o menos
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
25%
13°C
26%
14°C
28%
15°C
27%
16°C
4%
17°C
3%
18°C
1%
19°C o más
1%
15°C 27%
13°C 26%
12°C 25%
14°C 20%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
9°C o menos
$33 Vol.
1%
10°C
$33 Vol.
1%
11°C
$42 Vol.
3%
12°C
$42 Vol.
25%
13°C
$18 Vol.
26%
14°C
$232 Vol.
28%
15°C
$25 Vol.
27%
16°C
$64 Vol.
4%
17°C
$135 Vol.
3%
18°C
$164 Vol.
1%
19°C o más
$523 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 13°C (37%) and 12°C (36%) for Paris-Le Bourget Airport's lowest temperature on May 2, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts clustering overnight minima in this narrow 1°C range amid variable spring patterns. Recent Météo-France bulletins highlight a cold upper-air trough from the North Sea fueling stormy conditions through the May 1 weekend, with residual low-level moisture and light winds expected to temper radiative cooling after evening showers. Differentiating factors include the extent of nocturnal clearing—partial cloudiness may hold lows at 13°C, while breaks could permit a dip to 12°C—against typical early-May baselines of 9–10°C. Watch for this afternoon's 12Z model runs and Météo-France evening update for potential shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volumen
$1,312Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 13°C (37%) and 12°C (36%) for Paris-Le Bourget Airport's lowest temperature on May 2, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts clustering overnight minima in this narrow 1°C range amid variable spring patterns. Recent Météo-France bulletins highlight a cold upper-air trough from the North Sea fueling stormy conditions through the May 1 weekend, with residual low-level moisture and light winds expected to temper radiative cooling after evening showers. Differentiating factors include the extent of nocturnal clearing—partial cloudiness may hold lows at 13°C, while breaks could permit a dip to 12°C—against typical early-May baselines of 9–10°C. Watch for this afternoon's 12Z model runs and Météo-France evening update for potential shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,312Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 13°C (37%) and 12°C (36%) for Paris-Le Bourget Airport's lowest temperature on May 2, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts clustering overnight minima in this narrow 1°C range amid variable spring patterns. Recent Météo-France bulletins highlight a cold upper-air trough from the North Sea fueling stormy conditions through the May 1 weekend, with residual low-level moisture and light winds expected to temper radiative cooling after evening showers. Differentiating factors include the extent of nocturnal clearing—partial cloudiness may hold lows at 13°C, while breaks could permit a dip to 12°C—against typical early-May baselines of 9–10°C. Watch for this afternoon's 12Z model runs and Météo-France evening update for potential shifts ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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