National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park, New York City's official observing station, point to an overnight low around 55°F on May 14 amid breezy southerly winds and scattered showers, anchoring trader sentiment with 37.5% implied probability on 54-55°F and 30% on 56-57°F. This reflects model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing minima clustered in the mid-50s, near the climatological May 14 normal of 54°F, but with spread due to uncertain cloud cover—persistent low-level stratus would trap heat and favor higher outcomes, while radiational cooling under partial clearing could push toward 52-53°F (18.5%). Light winds limit extreme cooling below 50°F. Traders await hourly updates and evening soundings for resolution-defining precision.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 14 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 14 de mayo?
54-55°F 32%
56-57°F 30%
52-53°F 17%
58-59°F 3.5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 may 2026
45°F o menos
<1%
46-47°F
1%
48-49°F
1%
50-51°F
3%
52-53°F
19%
54-55°F
39%
56-57°F
30%
58-59°F
4%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
<1%
64°F o más
<1%
54-55°F 32%
56-57°F 30%
52-53°F 17%
58-59°F 3.5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 may 2026
45°F o menos
$164 Vol.
<1%
46-47°F
$304 Vol.
1%
48-49°F
$504 Vol.
1%
50-51°F
$484 Vol.
3%
52-53°F
$214 Vol.
19%
54-55°F
$220 Vol.
39%
56-57°F
$161 Vol.
30%
58-59°F
$291 Vol.
4%
60-61°F
$1,130 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$614 Vol.
<1%
64°F o más
$965 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park, New York City's official observing station, point to an overnight low around 55°F on May 14 amid breezy southerly winds and scattered showers, anchoring trader sentiment with 37.5% implied probability on 54-55°F and 30% on 56-57°F. This reflects model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing minima clustered in the mid-50s, near the climatological May 14 normal of 54°F, but with spread due to uncertain cloud cover—persistent low-level stratus would trap heat and favor higher outcomes, while radiational cooling under partial clearing could push toward 52-53°F (18.5%). Light winds limit extreme cooling below 50°F. Traders await hourly updates and evening soundings for resolution-defining precision.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Volumen
$5,051Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park, New York City's official observing station, point to an overnight low around 55°F on May 14 amid breezy southerly winds and scattered showers, anchoring trader sentiment with 37.5% implied probability on 54-55°F and 30% on 56-57°F. This reflects model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing minima clustered in the mid-50s, near the climatological May 14 normal of 54°F, but with spread due to uncertain cloud cover—persistent low-level stratus would trap heat and favor higher outcomes, while radiational cooling under partial clearing could push toward 52-53°F (18.5%). Light winds limit extreme cooling below 50°F. Traders await hourly updates and evening soundings for resolution-defining precision.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$5,051Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park, New York City's official observing station, point to an overnight low around 55°F on May 14 amid breezy southerly winds and scattered showers, anchoring trader sentiment with 37.5% implied probability on 54-55°F and 30% on 56-57°F. This reflects model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing minima clustered in the mid-50s, near the climatological May 14 normal of 54°F, but with spread due to uncertain cloud cover—persistent low-level stratus would trap heat and favor higher outcomes, while radiational cooling under partial clearing could push toward 52-53°F (18.5%). Light winds limit extreme cooling below 50°F. Traders await hourly updates and evening soundings for resolution-defining precision.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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