Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park station (KNYC) in New York City recorded the lowest temperature on May 13, 2026, between 54°F and 55°F, aligning closely with the 30-year NOAA climate normal of 54°F for that date and driving the market's 97.5% implied probability for this outcome among traders wagering real capital. Cloudy skies, showers, and breezy conditions from a passing mid-Atlantic system suppressed radiative cooling overnight, preventing sharper drops seen in clearer analogs, while pre-event NOAA model ensembles had hinted at 50-53°F but updated observations confirmed the milder reading. Realistic challenges include a post hoc quality-controlled revision by NOAA revealing a brief colder pocket or debate over station representativeness versus airport data like LaGuardia, though such shifts are rare post-preliminary release; watch for the NWS New York daily climate summary in the next 24-48 hours.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoLowest temperature in NYC on May 13?
Lowest temperature in NYC on May 13?
54-55°F 97.4%
52-53°F 2.5%
50-51°F 1.0%
46-47°F <1%
$16,559 Vol.
$16,559 Vol.
13 may 2026
43°F or below
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
3%
54-55°F
97%
54-55°F 97.4%
52-53°F 2.5%
50-51°F 1.0%
46-47°F <1%
$16,559 Vol.
$16,559 Vol.
13 may 2026
43°F or below
$1,320 Vol.
<1%
44-45°F
$2,001 Vol.
<1%
46-47°F
$1,484 Vol.
1%
48-49°F
$1,668 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$1,341 Vol.
1%
52-53°F
$1,656 Vol.
3%
54-55°F
$3,641 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park station (KNYC) in New York City recorded the lowest temperature on May 13, 2026, between 54°F and 55°F, aligning closely with the 30-year NOAA climate normal of 54°F for that date and driving the market's 97.5% implied probability for this outcome among traders wagering real capital. Cloudy skies, showers, and breezy conditions from a passing mid-Atlantic system suppressed radiative cooling overnight, preventing sharper drops seen in clearer analogs, while pre-event NOAA model ensembles had hinted at 50-53°F but updated observations confirmed the milder reading. Realistic challenges include a post hoc quality-controlled revision by NOAA revealing a brief colder pocket or debate over station representativeness versus airport data like LaGuardia, though such shifts are rare post-preliminary release; watch for the NWS New York daily climate summary in the next 24-48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$16,559Fecha de finalización
13 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park station (KNYC) in New York City recorded the lowest temperature on May 13, 2026, between 54°F and 55°F, aligning closely with the 30-year NOAA climate normal of 54°F for that date and driving the market's 97.5% implied probability for this outcome among traders wagering real capital. Cloudy skies, showers, and breezy conditions from a passing mid-Atlantic system suppressed radiative cooling overnight, preventing sharper drops seen in clearer analogs, while pre-event NOAA model ensembles had hinted at 50-53°F but updated observations confirmed the milder reading. Realistic challenges include a post hoc quality-controlled revision by NOAA revealing a brief colder pocket or debate over station representativeness versus airport data like LaGuardia, though such shifts are rare post-preliminary release; watch for the NWS New York daily climate summary in the next 24-48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$16,559Fecha de finalización
13 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park station (KNYC) in New York City recorded the lowest temperature on May 13, 2026, between 54°F and 55°F, aligning closely with the 30-year NOAA climate normal of 54°F for that date and driving the market's 97.5% implied probability for this outcome among traders wagering real capital. Cloudy skies, showers, and breezy conditions from a passing mid-Atlantic system suppressed radiative cooling overnight, preventing sharper drops seen in clearer analogs, while pre-event NOAA model ensembles had hinted at 50-53°F but updated observations confirmed the milder reading. Realistic challenges include a post hoc quality-controlled revision by NOAA revealing a brief colder pocket or debate over station representativeness versus airport data like LaGuardia, though such shifts are rare post-preliminary release; watch for the NWS New York daily climate summary in the next 24-48 hours.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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