Tight market-implied odds clustered evenly across 71-87°F bins, with 74-75°F and 76-77°F edging at 26%, mirror National Weather Service guidance projecting a May 7 overnight low near 74-76°F at Miami International Airport amid typical early-May sea breeze patterns. Trader consensus captures ensemble spread in GFS and ECMWF models, where radiational cooling varies with post-sunset cloud cover from diurnal thunderstorms—clearer skies favor 71-73°F via enhanced infrared loss, while persistent stratus or light southeast winds (5-10 mph) trap heat for 78-81°F. High dewpoints near 70°F limit extreme cooling, sidelining 84°F+ outcomes. Historical May lows average 73°F; daily 12Z updates tomorrow may sharpen differentiation as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 7 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 7 de mayo?
76-77°F 42%
74-75°F 36%
78-79°F 8%
72-73°F 8%
NUEVO
$12,784 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,784 Vol.
7 may 2026
71°F o menos
6%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
36%
76-77°F
42%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F o más
<1%
76-77°F 42%
74-75°F 36%
78-79°F 8%
72-73°F 8%
NUEVO
$12,784 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,784 Vol.
7 may 2026
71°F o menos
$749 Vol.
6%
72-73°F
$343 Vol.
8%
74-75°F
$546 Vol.
36%
76-77°F
$559 Vol.
42%
78-79°F
$285 Vol.
8%
80-81°F
$588 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$120 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$2,242 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$3,999 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$2,497 Vol.
<1%
90°F o más
$856 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Tight market-implied odds clustered evenly across 71-87°F bins, with 74-75°F and 76-77°F edging at 26%, mirror National Weather Service guidance projecting a May 7 overnight low near 74-76°F at Miami International Airport amid typical early-May sea breeze patterns. Trader consensus captures ensemble spread in GFS and ECMWF models, where radiational cooling varies with post-sunset cloud cover from diurnal thunderstorms—clearer skies favor 71-73°F via enhanced infrared loss, while persistent stratus or light southeast winds (5-10 mph) trap heat for 78-81°F. High dewpoints near 70°F limit extreme cooling, sidelining 84°F+ outcomes. Historical May lows average 73°F; daily 12Z updates tomorrow may sharpen differentiation as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$12,784Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Tight market-implied odds clustered evenly across 71-87°F bins, with 74-75°F and 76-77°F edging at 26%, mirror National Weather Service guidance projecting a May 7 overnight low near 74-76°F at Miami International Airport amid typical early-May sea breeze patterns. Trader consensus captures ensemble spread in GFS and ECMWF models, where radiational cooling varies with post-sunset cloud cover from diurnal thunderstorms—clearer skies favor 71-73°F via enhanced infrared loss, while persistent stratus or light southeast winds (5-10 mph) trap heat for 78-81°F. High dewpoints near 70°F limit extreme cooling, sidelining 84°F+ outcomes. Historical May lows average 73°F; daily 12Z updates tomorrow may sharpen differentiation as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$12,784Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tight market-implied odds clustered evenly across 71-87°F bins, with 74-75°F and 76-77°F edging at 26%, mirror National Weather Service guidance projecting a May 7 overnight low near 74-76°F at Miami International Airport amid typical early-May sea breeze patterns. Trader consensus captures ensemble spread in GFS and ECMWF models, where radiational cooling varies with post-sunset cloud cover from diurnal thunderstorms—clearer skies favor 71-73°F via enhanced infrared loss, while persistent stratus or light southeast winds (5-10 mph) trap heat for 78-81°F. High dewpoints near 70°F limit extreme cooling, sidelining 84°F+ outcomes. Historical May lows average 73°F; daily 12Z updates tomorrow may sharpen differentiation as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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