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Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Luisiana

icon for Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Luisiana
Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Luisiana

Julia Letlow 67%

John Fleming 30.4%

Bill Cassidy 4.0%

Tracy Dendy <1%

Polymarket

$245,196 Vol.

Julia Letlow 67%

John Fleming 30.4%

Bill Cassidy 4.0%

Tracy Dendy <1%

Polymarket

$245,196 Vol.

Julia Letlow

$18,322 Vol.

67%

John Fleming

$36,442 Vol.

30%

Bill Cassidy

$32,904 Vol.

4%

Tracy Dendy

$18,745 Vol.

<1%

Julie Emerson

$36,042 Vol.

<1%

Blake Miguez

$23,665 Vol.

<1%

Kathy Seiden

$11,888 Vol.

<1%

Eric Skrmetta

$15,992 Vol.

<1%

Samuel "Sammy" Wyatt

$12,200 Vol.

<1%

Randall Arrington

$18,702 Vol.

<1%

Chris Holder

$9,207 Vol.

<1%

Xan John

$11,086 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana. If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus heavily favors U.S. Rep. Julia Letlow at 66.5% implied probability to win Louisiana's Republican U.S. Senate primary on May 16, propelled by President Trump's endorsement and her competitive polling against vulnerable incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy, whose 2021 vote to convict Trump in the second impeachment trial has drawn fresh attacks labeling him "very disloyal." A new Emerson College Polling survey released April 30 shows State Treasurer John Fleming edging Letlow 28%-27% with Cassidy at 21% and 22% undecided among likely GOP primary voters, yet traders bet Letlow consolidates Trump-aligned support and undecideds amid attack ads targeting Fleming. Louisiana requires a primary majority for outright victory; otherwise, top two advance to a runoff, heightening stakes with early voting underway.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana.

If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$245,196
Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 22, 2025, 1:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana. If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana. If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus heavily favors U.S. Rep. Julia Letlow at 66.5% implied probability to win Louisiana's Republican U.S. Senate primary on May 16, propelled by President Trump's endorsement and her competitive polling against vulnerable incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy, whose 2021 vote to convict Trump in the second impeachment trial has drawn fresh attacks labeling him "very disloyal." A new Emerson College Polling survey released April 30 shows State Treasurer John Fleming edging Letlow 28%-27% with Cassidy at 21% and 22% undecided among likely GOP primary voters, yet traders bet Letlow consolidates Trump-aligned support and undecideds amid attack ads targeting Fleming. Louisiana requires a primary majority for outright victory; otherwise, top two advance to a runoff, heightening stakes with early voting underway.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana.

If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$245,196
Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 22, 2025, 1:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana. If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Luisiana" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 12 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Julia Letlow" con 67%, seguido de "John Fleming" con 30%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 67¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 67% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Luisiana" ha generado $245.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 22, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Luisiana", explora los 12 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Luisiana" es "Julia Letlow" con 67%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 67% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "John Fleming" con 30%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Luisiana" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.