Incumbent Rep. Troy Carter faces a competitive Democratic primary challenge from Renada Collins in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District ahead of the May 16 closed primary, with prediction markets pricing Collins as a heavy favorite and early voting underway through May 9. No Republican candidates qualified, canceling the GOP primary and positioning the Democratic nominee as the unopposed general election winner on November 3 in this D+17 Cook PVI district where Kamala Harris won 65% in 2024. Trader consensus at 80.5% for Democratic Party reflects the district's strong partisan lean, Carter's prior 60%+ victories, and historical incumbency advantages in safe seats, tempered slightly by primary uncertainty despite negligible GOP prospects.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoLA-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
LA-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$25,560 Vol.
$25,560 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
81%
Partido Republicano
20%
$25,560 Vol.
$25,560 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$9,039 Vol.
81%
Partido Republicano
$16,521 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Troy Carter faces a competitive Democratic primary challenge from Renada Collins in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District ahead of the May 16 closed primary, with prediction markets pricing Collins as a heavy favorite and early voting underway through May 9. No Republican candidates qualified, canceling the GOP primary and positioning the Democratic nominee as the unopposed general election winner on November 3 in this D+17 Cook PVI district where Kamala Harris won 65% in 2024. Trader consensus at 80.5% for Democratic Party reflects the district's strong partisan lean, Carter's prior 60%+ victories, and historical incumbency advantages in safe seats, tempered slightly by primary uncertainty despite negligible GOP prospects.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$25,560Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Troy Carter faces a competitive Democratic primary challenge from Renada Collins in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District ahead of the May 16 closed primary, with prediction markets pricing Collins as a heavy favorite and early voting underway through May 9. No Republican candidates qualified, canceling the GOP primary and positioning the Democratic nominee as the unopposed general election winner on November 3 in this D+17 Cook PVI district where Kamala Harris won 65% in 2024. Trader consensus at 80.5% for Democratic Party reflects the district's strong partisan lean, Carter's prior 60%+ victories, and historical incumbency advantages in safe seats, tempered slightly by primary uncertainty despite negligible GOP prospects.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$25,560Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Troy Carter faces a competitive Democratic primary challenge from Renada Collins in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District ahead of the May 16 closed primary, with prediction markets pricing Collins as a heavy favorite and early voting underway through May 9. No Republican candidates qualified, canceling the GOP primary and positioning the Democratic nominee as the unopposed general election winner on November 3 in this D+17 Cook PVI district where Kamala Harris won 65% in 2024. Trader consensus at 80.5% for Democratic Party reflects the district's strong partisan lean, Carter's prior 60%+ victories, and historical incumbency advantages in safe seats, tempered slightly by primary uncertainty despite negligible GOP prospects.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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