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Política·Primarias

KY-06 Ganador de las primarias republicanas

icon for KY-06 Ganador de las primarias republicanas
Política·Primarias

KY-06 Ganador de las primarias republicanas

Ralph Alvarado 81%

Ryan Dotson 7.6%

Adam Perez Arquette 5.4%

Greg Plucinski 2.5%

Polymarket

$19,093 Vol.

Ralph Alvarado 81%

Ryan Dotson 7.6%

Adam Perez Arquette 5.4%

Greg Plucinski 2.5%

Polymarket

$19,093 Vol.

Ralph Alvarado

$7,588 Vol.

81%

Ryan Dotson

$8,100 Vol.

8%

Adam Perez Arquette

$1,543 Vol.

5%

Greg Plucinski

$856 Vol.

3%

Gavin Solomon

$1,007 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former state Sen. Ralph Alvarado leads trader consensus at 80.5% implied probability to win Kentucky's 6th Congressional District Republican primary on May 19, propelled by his top fundraising totals reported last week, extensive legislative experience, and a pivotal endorsement from the U.S. Chamber of Commerce announced two days ago signaling business community support. State Rep. Ryan Dotson holds second at 7.5% as a conservative challenger emphasizing religious liberty and parental rights, while biotech executive Greg Plucinski sits at 2.5% on strong out-of-state donations but limited name recognition. Recent KET debates exposed policy overlaps on economy and border security amid the open seat left by Andy Barr's Senate run, with Alvarado's establishment backing outweighing intra-party critiques in bettor assessments ahead of early voting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$19,093
Fecha de finalización
19 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 18, 2025, 3:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former state Sen. Ralph Alvarado leads trader consensus at 80.5% implied probability to win Kentucky's 6th Congressional District Republican primary on May 19, propelled by his top fundraising totals reported last week, extensive legislative experience, and a pivotal endorsement from the U.S. Chamber of Commerce announced two days ago signaling business community support. State Rep. Ryan Dotson holds second at 7.5% as a conservative challenger emphasizing religious liberty and parental rights, while biotech executive Greg Plucinski sits at 2.5% on strong out-of-state donations but limited name recognition. Recent KET debates exposed policy overlaps on economy and border security amid the open seat left by Andy Barr's Senate run, with Alvarado's establishment backing outweighing intra-party critiques in bettor assessments ahead of early voting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$19,093
Fecha de finalización
19 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 18, 2025, 3:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"KY-06 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Ralph Alvarado" con 81%, seguido de "Ryan Dotson" con 8%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 81¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 81% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "KY-06 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" ha generado $19.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 18, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "KY-06 Ganador de las primarias republicanas", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "KY-06 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es "Ralph Alvarado" con 81%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 81% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Ryan Dotson" con 8%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "KY-06 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.