Rep. Andy Barr commands 81% implied probability in the Kentucky Republican Senate primary on May 19, driven by early April Emerson College polling showing him at 28% among GOP voters—well ahead of rivals amid 25% undecideds—and his sustained fundraising edge with superior cash on hand. Trader consensus reflects fading momentum for businessman Nate Morris, whose Elon Musk-backed super PAC has stalled after spending heavily in a $48 million ad war, leaving minimal funds. Former Attorney General Daniel Cameron lingers at 7.4% on prior name recognition despite slipping in surveys, while others trail far behind. A Wall Street Journal report yesterday of President Trump leaning toward endorsing Barr has further solidified his frontrunner status in this open-seat contest to succeed Mitch McConnell.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAndy Barr 81%
Nate Morris 7.5%
Daniel Cameron 5.8%
Andrew Shelley <1%
$139,890 Vol.
$139,890 Vol.
Andy Barr
81%
Nate Morris
8%
Daniel Cameron
6%
Andrew Shelley
<1%
Mike Faris
<1%
Wende Kennedy
<1%
Andy Barr 81%
Nate Morris 7.5%
Daniel Cameron 5.8%
Andrew Shelley <1%
$139,890 Vol.
$139,890 Vol.
Andy Barr
81%
Nate Morris
8%
Daniel Cameron
6%
Andrew Shelley
<1%
Mike Faris
<1%
Wende Kennedy
<1%
If no 2026 Kentucky Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Dec 1, 2025, 4:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Kentucky Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rep. Andy Barr commands 81% implied probability in the Kentucky Republican Senate primary on May 19, driven by early April Emerson College polling showing him at 28% among GOP voters—well ahead of rivals amid 25% undecideds—and his sustained fundraising edge with superior cash on hand. Trader consensus reflects fading momentum for businessman Nate Morris, whose Elon Musk-backed super PAC has stalled after spending heavily in a $48 million ad war, leaving minimal funds. Former Attorney General Daniel Cameron lingers at 7.4% on prior name recognition despite slipping in surveys, while others trail far behind. A Wall Street Journal report yesterday of President Trump leaning toward endorsing Barr has further solidified his frontrunner status in this open-seat contest to succeed Mitch McConnell.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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