Charles Booker's commanding 83.5% implied probability in the Kentucky Democratic Senate primary stems from the latest Emerson College poll (March 29-31, 2026), showing him leading Amy McGrath 36%-18% among likely Democratic voters, with 38% undecided but his support gaining momentum from earlier surveys. As the May 19 primary nears, traders anticipate Booker consolidating grassroots enthusiasm and recent endorsements like the Kentucky Fair Tax Coalition, evident in his active campaigning. McGrath's 12% reflects lingering establishment backing and her 2020 primary win over Booker, though she trails amid a fragmented field including Dale Romans, whose strong KET debate performance (April 23) has yet to register in polls. Minor candidates hold negligible shares due to low name recognition.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCharles Booker 86%
Amy McGrath 13%
Jared Randall <1%
Pamela Stevenson <1%
$30,384 Vol.
$30,384 Vol.
Charles Booker
86%
Amy McGrath
13%
Jared Randall
1%
Pamela Stevenson
<1%
Dale Romans
<1%
Joel Willett
<1%
Logan Forsythe
<1%
Vincent Thompson
<1%
Charles Booker 86%
Amy McGrath 13%
Jared Randall <1%
Pamela Stevenson <1%
$30,384 Vol.
$30,384 Vol.
Charles Booker
86%
Amy McGrath
13%
Jared Randall
1%
Pamela Stevenson
<1%
Dale Romans
<1%
Joel Willett
<1%
Logan Forsythe
<1%
Vincent Thompson
<1%
If no 2026 Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Charles Booker's commanding 83.5% implied probability in the Kentucky Democratic Senate primary stems from the latest Emerson College poll (March 29-31, 2026), showing him leading Amy McGrath 36%-18% among likely Democratic voters, with 38% undecided but his support gaining momentum from earlier surveys. As the May 19 primary nears, traders anticipate Booker consolidating grassroots enthusiasm and recent endorsements like the Kentucky Fair Tax Coalition, evident in his active campaigning. McGrath's 12% reflects lingering establishment backing and her 2020 primary win over Booker, though she trails amid a fragmented field including Dale Romans, whose strong KET debate performance (April 23) has yet to register in polls. Minor candidates hold negligible shares due to low name recognition.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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