Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton's victory in the March 17 Democratic primary, backed by Gov. JB Pritzker and suburban voters, has solidified trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic win in this open-seat race to succeed retiring Sen. Dick Durbin. Illinois has not elected a Republican senator since 1998, with Democrats dominating due to overwhelming Chicago margins and statewide registration advantages; forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Democratic. No general election polls have emerged post-primaries, reinforcing historical base rates amid weak GOP nominee Don Tracy's limited fundraising. While a national Republican midterm wave, Stratton scandal, or depressed Democratic turnout could shift odds, no such catalysts have appeared in recent weeks ahead of November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Illinois
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Illinois
$22,246 Vol.
$22,246 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
94%
Republicano
3%
$22,246 Vol.
$22,246 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
$11,432 Vol.
94%
Republicano
$10,813 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton's victory in the March 17 Democratic primary, backed by Gov. JB Pritzker and suburban voters, has solidified trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic win in this open-seat race to succeed retiring Sen. Dick Durbin. Illinois has not elected a Republican senator since 1998, with Democrats dominating due to overwhelming Chicago margins and statewide registration advantages; forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Democratic. No general election polls have emerged post-primaries, reinforcing historical base rates amid weak GOP nominee Don Tracy's limited fundraising. While a national Republican midterm wave, Stratton scandal, or depressed Democratic turnout could shift odds, no such catalysts have appeared in recent weeks ahead of November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Volumen
$22,246Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton's victory in the March 17 Democratic primary, backed by Gov. JB Pritzker and suburban voters, has solidified trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic win in this open-seat race to succeed retiring Sen. Dick Durbin. Illinois has not elected a Republican senator since 1998, with Democrats dominating due to overwhelming Chicago margins and statewide registration advantages; forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Democratic. No general election polls have emerged post-primaries, reinforcing historical base rates amid weak GOP nominee Don Tracy's limited fundraising. While a national Republican midterm wave, Stratton scandal, or depressed Democratic turnout could shift odds, no such catalysts have appeared in recent weeks ahead of November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$22,246Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton's victory in the March 17 Democratic primary, backed by Gov. JB Pritzker and suburban voters, has solidified trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic win in this open-seat race to succeed retiring Sen. Dick Durbin. Illinois has not elected a Republican senator since 1998, with Democrats dominating due to overwhelming Chicago margins and statewide registration advantages; forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Democratic. No general election polls have emerged post-primaries, reinforcing historical base rates amid weak GOP nominee Don Tracy's limited fundraising. While a national Republican midterm wave, Stratton scandal, or depressed Democratic turnout could shift odds, no such catalysts have appeared in recent weeks ahead of November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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