USGS data confirms five magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes worldwide from January through April 2026, including a M7.4 offshore Japan on April 20, M7.4 in Indonesia's Molucca Sea on April 1, M7.3 near Vanuatu on March 30, M7.5 near Tonga on March 24, and M7.0 offshore Malaysia on February 22—clustering along active Pacific subduction zones and exceeding the typical pace for the period. Historical USGS records show approximately 15–20 such events annually, implying 2–3 more over May–June for a total near eight, driving trader consensus to 85% implied probability for 8+ amid the elevated early-year rate. Continuous seismic monitoring provides real-time updates, though tectonic stress release remains inherently stochastic with yearly fluctuations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Cuántos terremotos de 7.0 o más para el 30 de junio?
¿Cuántos terremotos de 7.0 o más para el 30 de junio?
$1,846,896 Vol.
$1,846,896 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Título del grupo: 7
15%
8+
82%
$1,846,896 Vol.
$1,846,896 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Título del grupo: 7
$284,687 Vol.
15%
8+
$548,636 Vol.
82%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.USGS data confirms five magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes worldwide from January through April 2026, including a M7.4 offshore Japan on April 20, M7.4 in Indonesia's Molucca Sea on April 1, M7.3 near Vanuatu on March 30, M7.5 near Tonga on March 24, and M7.0 offshore Malaysia on February 22—clustering along active Pacific subduction zones and exceeding the typical pace for the period. Historical USGS records show approximately 15–20 such events annually, implying 2–3 more over May–June for a total near eight, driving trader consensus to 85% implied probability for 8+ amid the elevated early-year rate. Continuous seismic monitoring provides real-time updates, though tectonic stress release remains inherently stochastic with yearly fluctuations.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 4, 2025, 3:15 PM ET
Volumen
$1,846,896Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 4, 2025, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.USGS data confirms five magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes worldwide from January through April 2026, including a M7.4 offshore Japan on April 20, M7.4 in Indonesia's Molucca Sea on April 1, M7.3 near Vanuatu on March 30, M7.5 near Tonga on March 24, and M7.0 offshore Malaysia on February 22—clustering along active Pacific subduction zones and exceeding the typical pace for the period. Historical USGS records show approximately 15–20 such events annually, implying 2–3 more over May–June for a total near eight, driving trader consensus to 85% implied probability for 8+ amid the elevated early-year rate. Continuous seismic monitoring provides real-time updates, though tectonic stress release remains inherently stochastic with yearly fluctuations.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Volumen
$1,846,896Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 4, 2025, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...USGS data confirms five magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes worldwide from January through April 2026, including a M7.4 offshore Japan on April 20, M7.4 in Indonesia's Molucca Sea on April 1, M7.3 near Vanuatu on March 30, M7.5 near Tonga on March 24, and M7.0 offshore Malaysia on February 22—clustering along active Pacific subduction zones and exceeding the typical pace for the period. Historical USGS records show approximately 15–20 such events annually, implying 2–3 more over May–June for a total near eight, driving trader consensus to 85% implied probability for 8+ amid the elevated early-year rate. Continuous seismic monitoring provides real-time updates, though tectonic stress release remains inherently stochastic with yearly fluctuations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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