Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits implied probabilities between 27°C (35.5%), 28°C (29.5%), and 29°C (21.5%) for Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on May 14, reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty amid persistent overcast skies and high humidity near 80-81%. Recent observational data shows a cooldown from peaks near 31°C on May 11 and 28°C on May 10, as southerly flows deliver moist air suppressing daytime heating via reduced solar insolation. China Meteorological Administration guidance targets 28°C under cloudy conditions with light winds, while international models like those informing TimeandDate (26°C) and AccuWeather (27°C) vary on afternoon partial clearing or thundershowers (47% chance), potentially differentiating outcomes; hourly METAR reports from ZHHH will resolve intraday trends against May climatological averages of 26-28°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 14?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 14?
27°C 40%
28°C 31%
29°C 22%
30°C 2.7%
NUEVO
$31,694 Vol.
NUEVO
$31,694 Vol.
14 may 2026
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
40%
28°C
31%
29°C
22%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 40%
28°C 31%
29°C 22%
30°C 2.7%
NUEVO
$31,694 Vol.
NUEVO
$31,694 Vol.
14 may 2026
25°C
$6,996 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,828 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$994 Vol.
40%
28°C
$2,000 Vol.
31%
29°C
$3,354 Vol.
22%
30°C
$3,087 Vol.
3%
31°C
$3,756 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,811 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$2,200 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits implied probabilities between 27°C (35.5%), 28°C (29.5%), and 29°C (21.5%) for Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on May 14, reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty amid persistent overcast skies and high humidity near 80-81%. Recent observational data shows a cooldown from peaks near 31°C on May 11 and 28°C on May 10, as southerly flows deliver moist air suppressing daytime heating via reduced solar insolation. China Meteorological Administration guidance targets 28°C under cloudy conditions with light winds, while international models like those informing TimeandDate (26°C) and AccuWeather (27°C) vary on afternoon partial clearing or thundershowers (47% chance), potentially differentiating outcomes; hourly METAR reports from ZHHH will resolve intraday trends against May climatological averages of 26-28°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volumen
$31,694Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits implied probabilities between 27°C (35.5%), 28°C (29.5%), and 29°C (21.5%) for Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on May 14, reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty amid persistent overcast skies and high humidity near 80-81%. Recent observational data shows a cooldown from peaks near 31°C on May 11 and 28°C on May 10, as southerly flows deliver moist air suppressing daytime heating via reduced solar insolation. China Meteorological Administration guidance targets 28°C under cloudy conditions with light winds, while international models like those informing TimeandDate (26°C) and AccuWeather (27°C) vary on afternoon partial clearing or thundershowers (47% chance), potentially differentiating outcomes; hourly METAR reports from ZHHH will resolve intraday trends against May climatological averages of 26-28°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$31,694Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits implied probabilities between 27°C (35.5%), 28°C (29.5%), and 29°C (21.5%) for Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on May 14, reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty amid persistent overcast skies and high humidity near 80-81%. Recent observational data shows a cooldown from peaks near 31°C on May 11 and 28°C on May 10, as southerly flows deliver moist air suppressing daytime heating via reduced solar insolation. China Meteorological Administration guidance targets 28°C under cloudy conditions with light winds, while international models like those informing TimeandDate (26°C) and AccuWeather (27°C) vary on afternoon partial clearing or thundershowers (47% chance), potentially differentiating outcomes; hourly METAR reports from ZHHH will resolve intraday trends against May climatological averages of 26-28°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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